[NL2-NL10] NL16 QJs

    • TheWinnerTakesItAll
      TheWinnerTakesItAll
      Bronze
      Joined: 28.01.2012 Posts: 1,187
      SB stats 48/30 AF:2 WTSD:22 W$SD:50 river AF:8 after 23 hands.

      For me his line doesn't make a lot of sense. I'm just worried that he can play T8 this way.

      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.08/$0.16 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)

      Known players:
      SB:
      $14.99
      BB:
      $16.00
      UTG1:
      $13.92
      UTG2 (Hero):
      $16.00
      MP1:
      $25.14
      MP2:
      $16.16
      MP3:
      $16.24
      CO:
      $16.75
      BU:
      $16.00


      Preflop: Hero is UTG2 with J, Q.
      UTG1 folds, Hero raises to $0.48, 5 folds, SB calls $0.40, BB folds.

      Flop: ($1.12) 9, 7, 2 (2 players)
      SB bets $0.60, Hero calls $0.60.

      Turn: ($2.32) Q (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $1.44, SB calls $1.44.

      River: ($5.2) J (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $2.08, SB raises to $12.47(All-In), Hero ???
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi.

      Snap call. As long as you think he can play some worse hands in this way, this is definitely a call. You should also note that your bet size on the River was kind of small which could have induced a bluff or at least he should be more willing to go for thin value raises with weaker two pairs.

      Given how loose he is, he can have 97s/Q9/J9/J7s

      Pot odds = 10.50/30 = ~34%

      We are a favourite here and we only need 34%. Even if you think i'm being very optimistic and I start discounting Q9o and J9o, I think this would still be a clear call.

      Board: 9c7c2hQsJs
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 54.29% 48.57% 5.71% { QcJc }
      MP3 45.71% 40.00% 5.71% { JJ, 99, 77, 22, QJs, Q9s, J9s, J7s, T8s, 97s, QJo, Q9o, J9o }


      Thanks.