[NL2-NL10] NL2 FR 2nd flush

    • Dawidas888
      Dawidas888
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Known Players:
      MP1: $2.00 - 100 bb
      MP2: $3.22 - 161 bb
      MP3: $3.30 - 165 bb
      CO: $2.16 - 108 bb
      BU: $1.68 - 84 bb
      SB: $4.63 - 232 bb
      BB: $1.98 - 99 bb

      0.01/0.02 No Limit Hold'em (7 Handed)
      Hand recorder for this hand: PokerStrategy.com SideKick 1.1.411.7

      Preflop: Hero is SB with K:club: , Q:heart:
      Hero posts small blind ($0.01), BB posts big blind ($0.02), 5 folds, Hero raises for $0.07, BB calls

      Flop: ($0.16 - 8 bb) Q:club: , J:club: , 8:diamond: (2 Players)
      Hero bets $0.10, BB calls

      Turn: ($0.36 - 18 bb) 4:club: (2 Players)
      Hero bets $0.26, BB calls

      River: ($0.88 - 44 bb) 7:club: (2 Players)
      Hero bets $0.60, BB raises for $1.54, Hero folds, BB gets uncalled back ($0.94)

      -----

      To break-even I need 24.54%.

      Could this ever be a bluff? Because I don't see it.
  • 5 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,696
      Hi.

      Turn: I would not bet here, I think it's too thin. We are probably behind villain's calling range, unless you know him to be super loose

      River: Without reads I think he usually has the nuts here so I'll fold. But if you have any suspicion about him being some maniac then this would be a call.

      Thanks.
    • Dawidas888
      Dawidas888
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      So a better line would be to check/call the turn and river?

      Thanks for all the evaluations.
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,696
      Yeah I think i would do that. If you had AcQ then I would bet the Turn, cos you beat more hands now, like KQ.

      What you beat
      JTs
      T8s
      98s
      QTs

      What you lose to
      AQ
      QJ
      Flushes
      T9s

      As you can see, if you actually count the combos of all those hands you beat vs all those hands you are ahead of, I think it's clear that you have no value with a Turn bet.
    • Dawidas888
      Dawidas888
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Thanks for the detailed reply!
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,696
      No problem.

      You should try pokerstrategy equilab. Key in the board cards for Flop and turn, key in your own hand, and key in a range of hands you think your opponent is going to call with.

      Look at your equity. If it's >50%, you have a value bet. If it's <50%, you should not bet for value

      http://www.pokerstrategy.com/software/10/