[NL20-NL50] NL50 SH - A9o: vs raise

    • Lunitis
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,136
      3.3 af
      75% fold bb vs steal
      14% 3bet (10% vs hero in 49)
      40% fold vs cbet
      47% raise cbet oop
      56% wwsf
      21% agg% river
      706 hands

      Hero was tight on the table and cant recall dynamic.

      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      MP: $60.86 (121.7 bb)
      CO: $23.83 (47.7 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $54.48 (109 bb)
      SB: $40.60 (81.2 bb)
      BB: $281.38 (562.8 bb)
      UTG: $26.14 (52.3 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with A 9
      3 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, SB folds, BB calls $1

      Flop: ($3.25) A 4 T (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $2.25, BB raises to $6, Hero calls $3.75

      Turn: ($15.25) A (2 players)
      BB bets $9.50, Hero calls $9.50

      River: ($34.25) 5 (2 players)
      BB bets $264.38 and is all-in, Hero folds ?

      I think hero hand looks like Ax (and maybe KQ, KJ, QJ flush draw), will he be that aggro to the point of trying to make hero fold Ax here? Will he ever put me in a range :P ?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      It depends on whether villain is blindly aggro, or a smart LAG. That river is pretty much one of the worse rivers to bluff at when your range is so heavily weighted towards AX. If that's the case, then we should probably think about folding our AX with weaker kickers.

      Good thing is that you have no diamonds and none of the gutshots got there. He also doesn't rep TT cos he would have 3betted pre.

      Value hands
      44 (3 combos)
      AT (3 combos)
      A4s (1 combo)

      7 value combos

      Given how narrow he reps, and how many draws missed, I don't think we can fold here.