[NL2-NL10] NL AKo draw played aggressively

    • Dawidas888
      Dawidas888
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Known Players:
      MP1: $1.57 - 79 bb
      MP2: $5.25 - 263 bb
      MP3: $0.78 - 39 bb
      CO: $1.62 - 81 bb
      BU: $2.00 - 100 bb
      SB: $2.04 - 102 bb
      BB: $3.11 - 156 bb

      0.01/0.02 No Limit Hold'em (7 Handed)
      Hand recorder for this hand: PokerStrategy.com SideKick 1.1.411.7

      Preflop: Hero is BU with A:heart: , K:spade:
      SB posts small blind ($0.01), BB posts big blind ($0.02), 2 folds, MP3 raises for $0.06, CO 3-bets $0.16, Hero calls, 3 folds

      Flop: ($0.41 - 20.50 bb) J:heart: , T:heart: , 2:club: (2 Players)
      CO bets $0.24, Hero calls

      Turn: ($0.89 - 44.50 bb) 3:heart: (2 Players)
      CO bets $0.50, Hero raises for $1.60, CO calls, Hero gets uncalled back ($0.38)

      River: ($3.33 - 166.50 bb) J:diamond: (2 Players)

      ---

      I should have just call the turn as I have 7-9 outs for the flush and possibly 3 good outs for the gutshot.
      My odds are 2.78 : 1 and I need 3 : 1 odds with 12 outs. I would have needed to get only $0.11 more on the river which is very likely.
      Also, shipping is not good as it is likely that the opponent will see himself as committed or just won't want to fold.

      When I shipped I expected Jx, Tx to fold (I don't know yet how to quantify my fold equity) and get it in with weaker draws.

      All in all, I guess I prefer calling on the turn and seeing the river.

      Is my reasoning correct?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi.

      Preflop:What is CO's 3bet range here? If it's tight I would just fold here.

      Turn: The turn push only makes sense if you think you have fold equity. I don't think you do so just call the Turn again.