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[NL20-NL50] #5

    • zumpar
      zumpar
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.02.2012 Posts: 1,185
      seeems like a solid reg 27/21 AF:2.5 cb flop:79, cb turn:72 wtsd:23.5

      iPoker - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BB: $62.93 (VPIP: 10.00, PFR: 7.78, 3Bet Preflop: 5.13, Hands: 93)
      UTG: $52.48 (VPIP: 26.51, PFR: 21.38, 3Bet Preflop: 8.41, Hands: 1,785)
      MP: $50.43 (VPIP: 18.38, PFR: 14.95, 3Bet Preflop: 6.24, Hands: 1,168)
      CO: $50.77 (VPIP: 18.55, PFR: 14.51, 3Bet Preflop: 4.41, Hands: 322)
      Hero (BTN): $50.00
      SB: $66.35 (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 10)

      SB posts SB $0.25, BB posts BB $0.50

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.75) Hero has A:club: J:club:

      UTG raises to $1.50, fold, fold, Hero calls $1.50, fold, fold

      Flop: ($3.75, 2 players) J:heart: 3:heart: J:diamond:
      UTG bets $2.50, Hero calls $2.50

      Turn: ($8.75, 2 players) 2:heart:
      UTG bets $5.50, Hero calls $5.50

      River: ($19.75, 2 players) 9:club:
      UTG bets $15.00, Hero calls $15.00

      UTG shows T:heart: Q:heart: (Flush, Queen High) (Pre 40%, Flop 27%, Turn 77%)
      Hero mucks A:club: J:club: (Three of a Kind, Jacks) (Pre 60%, Flop 73%, Turn 23%)
      UTG wins $47.27
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Zumpar,

      I don't think we should expect villain to be bluffing often on this board but there's a good chance that he can valuebet worse.

      However, given the big bet river sizing I think he is polarized to let's say KJ+, maybe QJ but I really doubt it. I don't think he valuebets overpairs or bluffs much (only hands that would make sense bluffing from a better reg may be backdoors that missed like AhQ, AhK, etc)

      How aggro is he on the river? I would contemplate