[NL2-NL10] NL5 tptk vs shove

    • MarliesB
      MarliesB
      Bronze
      Joined: 13.04.2013 Posts: 685
      Fishy small blind shoves on the river. I'm afraid though, I only have tptk on the river. He could also have 2p, sets or straights. Is this the good call?

      PokerStars - $0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players

      SB: 73.4 BB (VPIP: 43.48, PFR: 17.39, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 24)
      Hero (BB): 103.2 BB

      SB posts SB 0.4 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has Q:heart: A:heart:

      fold, fold, fold, fold, SB raises to 2 BB, Hero raises to 8 BB, SB calls 6 BB

      Flop: (16 BB, 2 players) 8:diamond: 7:heart: Q:club:
      SB checks, Hero bets 9 BB, SB calls 9 BB

      Turn: (34 BB, 2 players) J:spade:
      SB checks, Hero bets 20 BB, SB calls 20 BB

      River: (74 BB, 2 players) 6:heart:
      SB bets 36.4 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 36.4 BB

      SB shows T:spade: T:heart: (One Pair, Tens) (Pre 54%, Flop 12%, Turn 14%)
      Hero shows Q:heart: A:heart: (One Pair, Queens) (Pre 46%, Flop 88%, Turn 86%)
      Hero wins 140.8 BB




      Another hand: I flop 2 pair and another shove by a fishy guy. Call?

      PokerStars - $0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players

      SB: 58.6 BB (VPIP: 14.29, PFR: 8.16, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 51)
      Hero (CO): 149.4 BB

      SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has 7:heart: A:heart:

      fold, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, BTN calls 3 BB, SB calls 2.6 BB, fold

      Flop: (10 BB, 3 players) 9:heart: A:spade: 7:spade:
      SB checks, Hero bets 6 BB, fold, SB calls 6 BB

      Turn: (22 BB, 2 players) Q:heart:
      SB checks, Hero bets 14 BB, SB raises to 49.6 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 35.6 BB

      River: (121.2 BB, 2 players) J:spade:

      SB shows Q:diamond: A:diamond: (Two Pair, Aces and Queens) (Pre 71%, Flop 25%, Turn 75%)
      Hero shows 7:heart: A:heart: (Two Pair, Aces and Sevens) (Pre 29%, Flop 75%, Turn 25%)
      SB wins 116.2 BB
  • 2 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      We have Top Pair Top Kicker in a 3b pot vs a bad player with a wide range in a blind vs blind situation. I don't think this is close at all, this is a snap call and I'm extremely excited to call here, especially for those pot odds (we only need to win 25% of the time, I think we are good here more than 50% of the time).
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      It's common knowledge that turn raises are usually very strong plays and are usually made with two pairs or better. However, there are a few things you should be considering

      Stack Size: This guy is <60bb
      Board Texture: Two flush draws out there - Not only will he shove lighter with AX for protection, he may also be check/jamming flush draws here
      Our Hand: We have two pairs here. While our two pairs is probably the worst two pair here vs a nit (he doesn't play Q9/Q7/97), I think the likelihood of him having A7 and 77 is reduced.
      Raise size: The turn check/push is a weaker play than the turn min check/raise

      I think because of all these various factors, this is a pretty easy call.