[NL2-NL10] Turned toppair vs ch/r

    • jazzy29
      jazzy29
      Silver
      Joined: 06.11.2012 Posts: 308
      Button ($4.45)
      SB ($19.03)
      BB ($8)
      UTG ($12.61)
      Hero (MP) ($10)
      CO ($14.08)

      Preflop: Hero is MP with J, K
      1 fold, Hero bets $0.30, 3 folds, BB calls $0.20

      Flop: ($0.65) 5, 7, 5 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.35, BB calls $0.35

      Turn: ($1.35) J (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.95, BB raises to $2.10, Hero calls $1.15

      River: ($5.55) 8 (2 players)
      BB bets $1.60, Hero calls $1.60

      Total pot: $8.75 | Rake: $0.39

      Villain was unknown. I wasn't so sure about calling the turn, but he the potodds were so nice and i couldn't give him a range...yes c/c flop c/r turn looks strong, but my feeling told me to call the small bet. On the river it is a snapcall for me because I don't need to be very good so often to have a EV+ call.
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      "yes c/c flop c/r turn looks strong, but my feeling told me to call the small bet"

      Don't follow your feelings, follow statistics. Drawing the experiences from my entire poker career, this turn minraise is trips or better 80%+ of the time.

      We are screwed here and we should just fold. River is unimportant because you should have folded the turn already.

      Even if this time round you had the best hand, given that we have no reads on villain, we should assume that he plays like the average player in the entire poker player population.