[NL20-NL50] NL50 99 3bet BUbb

    • double2
      double2
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 04.11.2008 Posts: 14,642
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      UTG: $50 (100 bb)
      MP: $52.72 (105.4 bb)
      CO: $50 (100 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $50 (100 bb)
      SB: $51.75 (103.5 bb)
      BB: $57.44 (114.9 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with 9 9
      3 folds, Hero raises to $1.12, SB folds, BB raises to $3.24, Hero calls $2.12

      Flop: ($6.73) 5 4 J (2 players)
      BB bets $4.50, Hero calls $4.50

      Turn: ($15.73) 8 (2 players)
      BB bets $10.50, Hero folds

      Results:
      $15.73 pot ($0.71 rake)
      Final Board: 5 4 J 8
      Hero mucked 9 9 and lost (-$7.74 net)
      BB mucked and won $15.02 ($7.28 net)



      3.6k hands
      30/18/5.6%
      3bet BB vs steal 9%
      3bet vs open BU 7.3%
      cbet flop in 3bet pot 75%
      WWSF 47%
      Agg freq 34/38/38

      I hesitated pre flop, i think the call is marginal considering his 3bet freq.
  • 3 replies
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      Hey,

      I think against ~8% you can call there no problem. That said, postflop it can get quite tough. His AFq is the same on each street and he cbets often in a 3bet pot I would be tempted to call down on blanks in this situation, although we don't have that many blanks.

      What I think you should not do is call turn and fold river because he doesn't not look like the opponent that would check the river too often based on WWSF and AFq.
    • double2
      double2
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 04.11.2008 Posts: 14,642
      Hmm, I think his pre flop range is too tight for us to call down profitably.
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      Originally posted by double2
      Hmm, I think his pre flop range is too tight for us to call down profitably.
      Depends if he is depolarised or polarised.. if he has many Jx then I agree.. But if he 3bets preflop with a lot of crap that is pair + draw in this case and will ship almost any river when it misses, we can probably call but it's close. I'm a nit and fold most often although I know it's close.