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[NL20-NL50] NL50 AT BBbu river

    • double2
      Joined: 04.11.2008 Posts: 14,642
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $58.90 (117.8 bb)
      BTN: $50 (100 bb)
      SB: $59.54 (119.1 bb)
      Hero (BB): $55.30 (110.6 bb)
      UTG: $49 (98 bb)
      MP: $97.59 (195.2 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with T A
      3 folds, BTN raises to $1.25, SB folds, Hero calls $0.75

      Flop: ($2.75) 9 2 8 (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN checks

      Turn: ($2.75) 6 (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $1.75, Hero calls $1.75

      River: ($6.25) 6 (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $3.75,

      open BU 53%
      fold to 3bet BU 73%
      cbet flop 79%
      WTSD 22%
      WWSF 42%
      Agg freq 39/29/31

      Should I bet turn and river, c/c turn? My feeling is that he is giving up some percentage of the time when he checks back flop, but if that's true can i c/c turn? I also don't really understand the bet river, maybe 9x that chked back flop?
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909

      I think overall you can bet vs most missed cbets if you have any equity, like you have here a gutter and at least one likely over. That play should show a profit on average. Against this specific guy, I would think about check/raise turn after he delay cbets. The reason for this is that he will cbet most of his good hands so he either has air or thin value hand, therefore is capped. If you think about it for a bit, you see it doesn't make sense to lead all your range against a missed cbet here since you don't build a pot with your nuts and you don't gain huge folding equity when bluffing. This was a spot where I experimented with leading 2x pot since 100bb effective allows for such bets quite easily.