[NL2-NL10] Nl10 FR - KK fish raise flop

    • Ganimator
      Joined: 14.02.2013 Posts: 189
      PokerStars - $0.10 NL - Holdem - 8 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      CO: $11.66 (VPIP: 18.60, PFR: 13.95, 3Bet Preflop: 5.17, Hands: 175)
      BTN: $10.07 (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 23)
      SB: $10.00 (VPIP: 14.40, PFR: 4.77, 3Bet Preflop: 1.01, Hands: 2,425)
      Hero (BB): $10.47
      UTG: $17.54 (VPIP: 25.53, PFR: 5.49, 3Bet Preflop: 0.57, Hands: 1,001)
      UTG+1: $11.90 (VPIP: 13.27, PFR: 10.88, 3Bet Preflop: 2.94, Hands: 298)
      MP: $4.00 (VPIP: 15.73, PFR: 12.92, 3Bet Preflop: 7.55, Hands: 181)
      MP+1: $21.50 (VPIP: 38.46, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 13)

      SB posts SB $0.05, Hero posts BB $0.10

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has K:heart: K:diamond:

      UTG raises to $0.30, fold, fold, MP+1 calls $0.30, fold, fold, SB calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1.20, fold, MP+1 calls $0.90, SB calls $0.90

      (Mp+1 is 1 tabling so i assumed he was quite fishy)

      Flop: ($3.90, 3 players) T:spade: 7:diamond: 8:diamond:
      SB checks, Hero bets $1.60, fold, SB raises to $3.20, fold

      (Maybe my bet sizing could of been bigger? I bet to get value from QQ,JJ,Aks,Tx,maybe 22+. When i get check raised im assuming he hit a set, straight,2pair or maybe a flush draw)

      I guess i would like to know how much do i bet on the flop, do i even bet on the flop and how do i react to his raise? Thank you in advance :)

      SB wins $6.78
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694

      1. Your bet size is way too small, would bet 60% pot here

      2. You need a gameplan before betting. If you are unsure whether to bet/fold or bet/call you should probably just check the Flop. I am really doubtful that we can go for 3 streets of value here unless he is bad enough to call AT/KT here or somehow shows up with JJ/QQ here (unlikely IMO). Based on his nitty stats I don't think that's happening too often.

      3. I think if he doesn't get too out of line, if we are up against a range of 77-TT, AdQd, we are crushed so we should bet/fold

      Board: Ts7d8d
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 65.03% 63.86% 1.16% { TT-77, AdQd }
      MP3 34.97% 33.81% 1.16% { KdKh }

      If you think his range is wider than that then you can probably bet/call and shove over blank turns, or even just jam the flop if he has enough c/r bluffs in his range.

      You should realize that based on his stats, as well as the relative positions (him being OOP), I just think that his range is so heavily weighted towards 77-TT, AQ, maybe AJs/KQs.

      I honestly wouldn't mind just checking back Flop and calling down on blank runouts. Seems weak I know, but I don't want to bet and have to fold to a raise.

      This could be very different if it were BvB, but this is a squeeze spot and villain's defence range is just going to be way tighter.