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[NL2-NL10] NL16SH KK facing riverdonk

    • DaPhunk
      DaPhunk
      Bronze
      Joined: 01.03.2008 Posts: 2,805
      Poker Stars $16.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      CO: $16.16
      BTN: $16.00
      SB: $12.37
      BB: $16.97
      Hero (UTG): $17.68

      Pre Flop: ($0.24) Hero is UTG with K :club: K :diamond:
      Hero raises to $0.48, 3 folds, BB calls $0.32

      Flop: ($1.04) Q :spade: 9 :spade: 6 :club: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.64, BB calls $0.64

      Turn: ($2.32) 9 :diamond: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $1.68, BB calls $1.68

      River: ($5.68) Q :diamond: (2 players)
      BB bets $2.88, Hero folds


      Villain is 38/23 on 155 hands. He has pretty decent flop aggression at 45% but his turn and river stats show he only bets 24% of the time when it is possible.

      I think next time I make the cbet bigger.
  • 5 replies
    • yougotfelted51
      yougotfelted51
      Silver
      Joined: 04.02.2010 Posts: 1,276
      cbet flop/turn bigger. as played river is a fold imo
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Hi.

      I think river is a call here. All the draws missed, and an aggro fish will often donk the River to rep whatever hits. Vs a half pot bet we only need to win 25% of the time. I'm pretty sure we win that often.

      I think it's unlikely for villain to take a c/c F donk T donk R line with 9X when the Queen pairs so we can discount that from his range (I think he either donk T or c/c T c/c R).

      Thanks.
    • DaPhunk
      DaPhunk
      Bronze
      Joined: 01.03.2008 Posts: 2,805
      Originally posted by mbml
      I think it's unlikely for villain to take a c/c F donk T donk R line with 9X when the Queen pairs so we can discount that from his range (I think he either donk T or c/c T c/c R).

      Thanks.
      Not sure if you misread, he C/C turn as well as flop.
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      i didnt misread the hand, I made a typo.

      I don't think he c/c c/c donk with 9X, he either donks the Turn already, or he would be scared by the QX on the River and would opt for a pot control line.

      Thus, I think he only reps QX here.
    • CPallo
      CPallo
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.04.2012 Posts: 4,350
      If he is aggressive on flop and passive on other streets, then I'm giving up my hand by river. Against more aggro guy it could be a call as he is repping Qx/busted draws..