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[NL2-NL10] NL2 FR QQ vs shove

    • Dawidas888
      Dawidas888
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Known Players:
      UTG2: $2.52 - 126 bb
      UTG3: $1.00 - 50 bb
      MP1: $1.86 - 93 bb
      MP2: $1.44 - 72 bb
      MP3: $4.95 - 248 bb
      CO: $2.06 - 103 bb
      BU: $2.18 - 109 bb
      SB: $2.79 - 140 bb
      BB: $2.00 - 100 bb

      0.01/0.02 No Limit Hold'em (9 Handed)
      Hand recorder for this hand: PokerStrategy.com SideKick 1.1.415.2

      Preflop: Hero is SB with Q:diamond: , Q:club:
      Hero posts small blind ($0.01), BB posts big blind ($0.02), UTG2 folds, UTG3 raises for $0.07, 4 folds, BU calls, Hero calls, BB 3-bets $1.98, 2 folds, Hero calls

      Flop: ($4.14 - 207 bb) T:diamond: , 4:heart: , 2:spade: (2 Players)

      Turn: ($4.14 - 207 bb) 5:club: (2 Players)

      River: ($4.14 - 207 bb) 2:diamond: (2 Players)

      -----

      The villain is unknown.

      I need 48.98% of equity to break-even.

      If his range is QQ+, AK then my call is bad.
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 40.21% 38.35% 1.86% { QQ }
      MP3 59.79% 57.93% 1.86% { QQ+, AKs, AKo }

      If his range is JJ+, AQ+ then my call is good.
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 51.34% 49.93% 1.40% { QQ }
      MP3 48.66% 47.26% 1.40% { JJ+, AQs+, AQo+ }

      I think the tighter range is more likely, so in the future I should only call with KK+ as my equity would be better
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 57.19% 54.62% 2.57% { KK }
      MP3 42.81% 40.24% 2.57% { QQ+, AKs, AKo }

      Am I correct?
  • 2 replies