[NL20-NL50] NL50 ATo bluff 3bet. Postflop?

    • AchillesBG
      AchillesBG
      Gold
      Joined: 06.02.2011 Posts: 4,562
      Prima, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $50 (100 bb)
      SB: $50.25 (100.5 bb)
      BB: $71.36 (142.7 bb)
      UTG: $59.76 (119.5 bb)
      MP: $52.54 (105.1 bb)
      Hero (CO): $63.96 (127.9 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with A:heart: T:club:
      UTG folds, MP raises to $2, Hero raises to $5.50, 3 folds, MP calls $3.50

      Flop: ($11.75) 5:heart: J:heart: 8:diamond: (2 players)
      MP bets $0.50, Hero raises to $6.75, MP calls $6.25

      Turn: ($25.25) 9:club: (2 players)
      MP bets $6.31, Hero calls $6.31

      River: ($37.87) K:heart: (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero bets $45.40, MP calls $33.98

      Unknown. Preflop, i decided to 3bet as a bluff.

      On the flop, i think it`s ok to Cbet over the min bet.

      On the turn, i have very good odds to call with my OESD.

      And on the river, i think, it`s a great spot to shove? (Scare card, i have the Ah e.t.c.)
  • 2 replies
    • pokerferrer
      pokerferrer
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.03.2008 Posts: 6,347
      I don't like postflop bluff vs unknown. And I don't really like the flop. I think we have to give up even without contbet, because there is some weak showdown value against street-draws and board very coordinated. Middle pairs will not go anywhere vs 1 bet, and 2 bets are too expensive I think.
      So I vote for just calling flop here. :)
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      Hey,

      Preflop is iffy.. you are facing MP 4x raise.. usually that's stronger than average.

      Postflop, I think raising the flop is OK since a minbet is often enough followed by a fold.

      Turn it becomes tricky.. Now that he didn't fold flop and is betting turn, his range doesn't contain air at all imo. If he doesn't contain air we should proceed with caution. Apart from that, his line is quite fishy imo therefore I would not try to bluff him. I would just go with the call for the odds and check back river. It's not that much of a scarecard when your opponent has at least Jx there imo.. he has a few hands like JT, then QJ, KJ, AJ, 88, 99, QT, flushdraws, etc.. you can only make him fold a few hands, probably not the ~48% you need.