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[NL20-NL50] NL50 River decision

    • Yozan
      Joined: 01.01.2010 Posts: 2,181
      Hello,I have this strange spot,I don't know OTR which is the best option/sizing.
      1st o f all I need to say that I play very aggro from blinds x/r 25-30
      In fact my question is ,It,s a clear fold OTR regarding the pot odds and the fact that most Villains will aggro play flop,maybe turn 2pairs+???

      Villain is 22/19 AF2.5 cbet 70% WTSD 25 WWSF 46 sample 400hands+

      CO: $52.35 (104.7 bb)
      BTN: $50 (100 bb)
      SB: $37.80 (75.6 bb)
      Hero (BB): $66.59 (133.2 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with Q J
      CO raises to $1.25, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.75

      Flop: ($2.75) 4 8 2 (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $2, Hero raises to $5, CO calls $3

      Turn: ($12.75) A (2 players)
      Hero bets $8, CO calls $8

      River: ($28.75) A (2 players)
      Hero bets $20, CO raises to $38.10 and is all-in, Hero ?????
  • 2 replies
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Yozan,

      So what range do you put him on for shoving that river and why do you want to fold given the pot odds we get? Can we not see worse draws or other hands?
    • Yozan
      Joined: 01.01.2010 Posts: 2,181
      Regarding my image his calling range could me very wide OTF....
      99-KK ,TP hands,if he want to bluff catch me,also Ax def in his 25% steal from CO...
      Like I said I expect most of the Villain to fast play OTF sets ,two pairs combo's not in their CO range on this flop.
      Also I think monsterr draws will also play fast at some point 56 :spade: :spade: ,67 :spade: :spade:

      Also from time to time some O/C that will steal OTT or flat if they hit.
      Regarding the A :spade: also hit the board,mehhh....

      I called in the game but not proud about it,hopping he will raise trips,or some sort of Flush in that spot,ofc regarding the price,and the fact this guy isn't the passiv one.

      But I don't know if betting the river is mandatory in this spot...
      I'm pretty sure no one will bluff catch here 99-KK, and not sure if someone shove flush on this paired board when I have all the sets in my range.

      TY.hoping for more answers.