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[NL20-NL50] [sh] nl 50 QQ EP vs blind 3bet

    • DeMarcohsp
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $52.96 (105.9 bb)
      SB: $50 (100 bb)
      BB: $62.97 (125.9 bb)
      Hero (MP): $51.88 (103.8 bb)
      CO: $50.75 (101.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP with Q Q
      Hero raises to $1.50, 2 folds, SB raises to $4.58, BB folds, Hero calls $3.08

      Flop: ($9.66) 4 9 7 (2 players)
      SB bets $5.50, Hero calls $5.50

      Turn: ($20.66) 4 (2 players)
      SB bets $12.82, Hero raises to $41.80, SB calls $27.10 and is all-in

      River: ($100.50) K (2 players, 1 is all-in)

      I don't think I have enough equity against a polarized range to go broke on the turn as he is basically going to have KK+, AhQx, AhKx + some flushes

      Board: 4:spade: 9:heart: 7:heart:  4:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    69.78%  69.78%   0.00% { KK+, AhKh, AhQh, KhQh, AhJh, QhJh, AdKh, AhKd, AhKs, AhKc, AsKh, AcKh, AdQh, AhQd, AhQs, AhQc, AsQh, AcQh }
      MP3    30.22%  30.22%   0.00% { QdQs }

      It might make sense to go broke again a depolarized range

      Board: 4:spade: 9:heart: 7:heart:  4:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    59.06%  58.07%   0.99% { QQ+, JdJh, JhJs, JhJc, TdTh, ThTs, ThTc, 9d9h, 9h9s, 9h9c, AhKh, AhQh, KhQh, AhJh, KhJh, QhJh, JhTh, Th9h, 9h8h, AdKh, AhKd, AhKs, AhKc, AsKh, AcKh, AdQh, AhQd, AhQs, AhQc, AsQh, AcQh, KdQh, KhQd, KhQs, KhQc, KsQh, KcQh }
      MP3    40.94%  39.94%   0.99% { QdQs }

      We can get called by worse and force hand with good equity againt us to fold.

      Third possibility is to expect this guy to have < 5% 3bet range in this spot and just make a clear fold :D
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      I dont see how jamming is ever a good play when we are an underdog when called. Its not as though we jave a draw and want fold equity. I rather continue calling and allowing him to fire blufs. We can also fold bad rivers like ace or heart.