[NL20-NL50] NL50 SH - A7o: nut flush draw turn

    • Lunitis
      Lunitis
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,136
      32/29
      4.4 af
      56% fold bb vs steal
      29% resteal vs bu
      58% fold vs 4bet
      34% fold vs cbet flop
      29% fold vs cbet turn
      40% float oop turn (15)
      58% wwsf
      3k hands

      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      MP: $50 (100 bb)
      CO: $48.83 (97.7 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $50 (100 bb)
      SB: $18 (36 bb)
      BB: $29.25 (58.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with 7 A
      2 folds, Hero raises to $1, SB folds, BB calls $0.50

      Flop: ($2.25) J 4 2 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero checks

      Turn: ($2.25) K (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $1.50, BB raises to $4, Hero...
  • 3 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,698
      Hi.

      I would bet the Flop with an over and a backdoor nut flush draw.

      As played, if you call the Turn raise, your hand will be defined as KX or AcX. Implied odds aren't too great but at the same time the pot odds being offered to us is pretty cheap so I'll probably call vs such a small raise.
    • Lunitis
      Lunitis
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,136
      His fold fold cbet flop is so low ... :(
      What do you think about a raise turn? I make him fold better Ax hands and protect a bit against gut shots... But i guess it would be more a bluff protection raise, to dont let he bluff me on the river..
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,698
      Firstly, Flop fold to cbet is overall. On some boards like JXX QXX AXX KXX it will be higher, and on other boards, it would be lower.

      Secondly, if you bet half pot only, you need 33% to breakeven. If he folds 34% of the time, you have a +EV bet.

      Thirdly, you are not considering future street playability once again. This is a hand which can be barreled on a bunch of cards.

      About raising the Turn: He reps something which beats you. I'm not sure why you want to reraise here? We can always choose to bluff the River or you could even reraise on the River if you want to turn your hand into a bluff.