[NL20-NL50] NL50 SH - AQo: vs old friend

    • Lunitis
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,131
      CO and Bb donkeys

      MP 29/23
      3.1 af
      5.4 3bet mp (he 3bets 12% against me and 9 overall)
      28% fold vs cbet flop
      44% fold vs cbet turn
      14% fold vs cbet river (7)
      30% agg% river
      7.2k hands

      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BB: $55.91 (111.8 bb)
      Hero (UTG): $55.35 (110.7 bb)
      MP: $62.42 (124.8 bb)
      CO: $18.26 (36.5 bb)
      BTN: $50 (100 bb)
      SB: $57.29 (114.6 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with Q A
      Hero raises to $1.50, MP calls $1.50, CO calls $1.50, 2 folds, BB calls $1

      Flop: ($6.25) 4 Q 8 (4 players)
      BB bets $0.50, Hero raises to $4.75, MP calls $4.75, 2 folds

      Turn: ($16.25) 8 (2 players)
      Hero bets $10, MP calls $10

      River: ($36.25) T (2 players)
      Hero checks

      We have some sick dynamics, but mostly on the blinds, he can pull off some sick value bets on the river, yeah, because he knows i dont believe him and i call ligh. I think he would certainly value bet here AQ and KQ maybe, but i dont think i can value bet because i cbet flop 4 way so i dont think he will call with KQ/QJ. C/c ...c/f?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694

      I don't like the idea of c/c, I think you just pay off better hands. Given the board, I think we are not losing to much (he has 4 combos of 44/88 only) but at the same time we don't rep any air and I think it's really difficult to gain value from KQ.

      Check/fold seems kind of weak since we are hardly losing to anything.

      Betting seems kind of tough too since as I mentioned we are not gaining too much value.

      I think out of the 3 i prefer betting. Sometimes we occasionally get looked up by KQ, sometimes we get to fold out AQ. I'm not sure what happens, but I think the EV is higher is better than c/c or c/f. You can consider this as a Triple Merge bet.