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[NL20-NL50] 1-card-str8 vs fish

    • pokerferrer
      Joined: 05.03.2008 Posts: 6,347
      43/22/af 3.8/69h/wts 31/fold2cbet 1 of 7/river AFq 50 (of 8 samples)
      Preflop is a bit loose but there is a huge fish on bb.
      What do you think as played? Turn more? River?

      NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
      SB ($8.47)
      BB ($20.76)
      UTG ($36.23)
      Hero ($28.20)
      BTN ($19.81)

      Dealt to Hero 8:club: J:club:

      fold, Hero raises to $0.75, fold, fold, BB calls $0.50

      FLOP ($1.60) 7:club: 4:diamond: 6:diamond:

      BB checks, Hero checks

      TURN ($1.60) 7:club: 4:diamond: 6:diamond: 5:spade:

      BB bets $0.75, Hero calls $0.75

      RIVER ($3.10) 7:club: 4:diamond: 6:diamond: 5:spade: K:heart:

      BB bets $3.25, Hero calls $3.25

      BB shows 3:club: 4:club:
      (Pre 34%, Flop 59.3%, Turn 3.4%)

      Hero shows 8:club: J:club:
      (Pre 66%, Flop 40.7%, Turn 96.6%)

      Hero wins $9.17
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      Flop: I would bet the Flop. I think you must bet here with 2 overs + backdoor FD + gutshot. Even if he doesn't fold, we can always barrel future streets. The weaker his Flop calling range is, the weaker his Turn range will be.

      As played

      Turn: I don't mind raising, we have some value from draws and 3X. I don't think he has 89 too often so I'm not too worried about that. Besides his bet size is on the smaller side which makes me think he is less likely to have 8X.