[NL2-NL10] NL2 FR AKs

    • Dawidas888
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Known Players:
      MP1: $0.96 - 48 bb
      MP2: $2.17 - 109 bb
      MP3: $2.00 - 100 bb
      CO: $2.48 - 124 bb
      BU: $3.36 - 168 bb
      SB: $5.26 - 263 bb
      BB: $2.92 - 146 bb

      0.01/0.02 No Limit Hold'em (7 Handed)
      Hand recorder for this hand: PokerStrategy.com SideKick 1.1.417.4

      Preflop: Hero is BB with A:club: , K:diamond:
      SB posts small blind ($0.01), Hero posts big blind ($0.02), 2 folds, MP3 calls, CO calls, BU calls, SB calls, Hero raises for $0.14, 3 folds, SB calls

      Flop: ($0.38 - 19 bb) A:spade: , T:diamond: , 2:spade: (2 Players)
      SB bets $0.20, Hero calls

      Turn: ($0.78 - 39 bb) 8:club: (2 Players)
      SB bets $4.90, Hero calls, SB gets uncalled back ($2.34)

      River: ($5.90 - 295 bb) 9:heart: (2 Players)


      SB is unknown.

      Preflop: standard open.

      Flop: I call a donk as if I raise, weaker hands will fold. If he had continued with small bets on turn and river I would have raised on the river for value.
      Turn: In this spot I'm pretty much always behind and should have just folded. However, at the heat of the moment I thought he could do this with AJ+ or FD so I called.

      To break-even I need 44.91% equity.

      Hands that I beat that could shove:
      AJ, AQ, AK, KsQs, QsJs, Js9s (19+6 combos)

      Hands that beat me:
      AT, A2, A8, 22, TT, 88, AA (28 combos)

      So if the range of hands that I beat that would shove is correct, calling may not be such a bad decision. However, if he is playing draws passively and does not overplay TP then I'm beat.

      In retrospect, I think folding is the best option vs unknown.
  • 2 replies
    • kymupa
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364

      Preflop and flop are good.

      On the turn, against unknown I would be folding here all day long. I don't think calling such a huge overbet is a good idea at all with TPTK against unknown so just fold and get to the next hand.

      PS: In your calculations, why don't you use Equilab instead of writing down the combinations yourself? I mean, your method is even wrong, since you do beat on the turn a hand like Js9s, but it has 30% equity on the turn, so it's 70/30 which should be considered in the calculations.

    • Dawidas888
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Hi Plamen

      Thanks for the evaluation.

      I write down combos as it helps me to understand where the equity numbers are coming from. I guess I should also put it into the equilab to get the most accurate answer.

      I knew I should fold :f_biggrin: