[NL2-NL10] AJo, 3bet pot, vs pot size bet river

    • axeboy90
      axeboy90
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.01.2010 Posts: 3,023
      Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2183989
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BTN: $1.76 - VPIP: 33, PFR: 25, 3B: 14, AF: 0.0, Hands: 12
      SB: $5.00 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 16, 3B: 6, AF: 2.3, Hands: 2852
      BB: $9.95 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 13, 3B: 2, AF: 3.9, Hands: 918
      UTG: $5.71 - VPIP: 36, PFR: 27, 3B: 5, AF: 1.9, Hands: 83
      Hero (MP): $12.04 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 20, 3B: 8, AF: 3.1, Hands: 27762
      CO: $11.58 - VPIP: 0, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 2

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is MP with A :diamond: J :club:
      UTG raises to $0.20, Hero raises to $0.60, 4 folds, UTG calls $0.40

      Flop: ($1.35) A :club: 5 :spade: 4 :club: (2 players)
      UTG checks, Hero bets $0.70, UTG calls $0.70

      Turn: ($2.75) 7 :spade: (2 players)
      UTG checks, Hero checks

      River: ($2.75) 2 :diamond: (2 players)
      UTG bets $2.00, Hero calls $2

      Should I make another bet on the turn? But what could he call me with? And what about the strange pot size bet on the river? Would you call?
  • 5 replies
    • sausage646
      sausage646
      Bronze
      Joined: 30.03.2010 Posts: 567
      Originally posted by axeboy90
      Should I make another bet on the turn?
      You did 3bet pre flop for value = YES!

      Originally posted by axeboy90
      But what could he call me with?
      55, 44,AdAs,AhAs,AsAc,54s,AsKs,AsQs,KcQc,AsJs,KcJc,QcJc,AsTs,KcTc,QcTc,
      JcTc,As9s,Kc9c,Qc9c,Jc9c,Tc9c,As8s,Kc8c,Tc8c,9c8c,As7s,Kc7c,9c7c,8c7c,
      As6s,Kc6c,8c6c,7c6c,As5s,7c5c,6c5c,As4s,As3s,As2s,54o,AdKs,AhKs,AcKs,
      AdQs,AhQs,AcQs,AdJs,AhJs,AcJs,AdTs,AhTs,AcTs,Ad9s,Ah9s,Ac9s,Ad8s,
      Ah8s,Ac8s,Ad7s,Ah7s,Ac7s,Ad6s,Ah6s,Ac6s,Ad5s,Ah5s,Ac5s,Ad4s,Ah4s,
      Ac4s,Ad3s,Ah3s,Ac3s,Ad2s,Ah2s,Ac2s - 55.94%
      AdJc - 44.06%

      And that's the worst scenario, you can easily include 88-JJ +some connectors.

      Originally posted by axeboy90
      And what about the strange pot size bet on the river? Would you call?
      Yes.

      Calculate your equity with the PokerStrategy.com Equilab -- > http://www.pokerstrategy.com/software/10/
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi.

      Preflop: This 3bet is kind of for thin value, but I think the main purpose of it is for isolation. We want to have the fish for ourselves.

      Turn: I think we can still bet here. We beat a decent amount of worse Aces, not to mention draws, and pair+draws like 67.

      As played, river is a snap call and it's not close at all. You have to call after checking the Turn.
    • axeboy90
      axeboy90
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.01.2010 Posts: 3,023
      I asked because at showdown, i was beat by his kicker. And was wondering if I'm not behind most of the time with my weak kicker vs a utg raiser especially when he calls the flop.
    • axeboy90
      axeboy90
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.01.2010 Posts: 3,023
      Originally posted by sausage646

      55, 44,AdAs,AhAs,AsAc,54s,AsKs,AsQs,KcQc,AsJs,KcJc,QcJc,AsTs,KcTc,QcTc,
      JcTc,As9s,Kc9c,Qc9c,Jc9c,Tc9c,As8s,Kc8c,Tc8c,9c8c,As7s,Kc7c,9c7c,8c7c,
      As6s,Kc6c,8c6c,7c6c,As5s,7c5c,6c5c,As4s,As3s,As2s,54o,AdKs,AhKs,AcKs,
      AdQs,AhQs,AcQs,AdJs,AhJs,AcJs,AdTs,AhTs,AcTs,Ad9s,Ah9s,Ac9s,Ad8s,
      Ah8s,Ac8s,Ad7s,Ah7s,Ac7s,Ad6s,Ah6s,Ac6s,Ad5s,Ah5s,Ac5s,Ad4s,Ah4s,
      Ac4s,Ad3s,Ah3s,Ac3s,Ad2s,Ah2s,Ac2s - 55.94%
      AdJc - 44.06%
      I don't think his range is that wide, given that he opened and called a 3bet from utg.
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      He's a fish, I think he has every single suited Ace and some combos of A9o/ATo in his range. Of course he could also have AQ/AK which makes the decision closer.

      But as played I really don't see how you can ever fold. Call 2 to win 6.75, so you need to win around 30% of the time.

      Board: Ac5s4c7s2d
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 43.66% 39.44% 4.23% { AdJc }
      MP3 56.34% 52.11% 4.23% { 55-22, A2s+, 86s, 76s, KcQc, KcTc, QcTc, Tc9c, 9c8c, AQo-A9o }