[NL20-NL50] NL25 - Top2 turn

    • LockONNN
      Joined: 05.05.2010 Posts: 3,437
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
      SB ($29.23)
      BB ($42.37)
      UTG ($25.55)
      Hero ($25)
      CO ($39.77)
      BTN ($25.32)

      Call Open CO: 13%
      Fcbet flop: 34%
      raise cbet flop: 22%
      AggFreq: 40/34/29
      WWSF: 50%
      WTSD: 26%
      4.1k hands

      1.7k hands

      Dealt to Hero K:club: Q:spade:

      fold, Hero raises to $0.75, CO calls $0.75, fold, fold, BB calls $0.50

      FLOP ($2.35) 6:diamond: 4:spade: K:spade:

      BB checks, Hero bets $1.75, CO calls $1.75, BB calls $1.75

      TURN ($7.60) 6:diamond: 4:spade: K:spade: Q:diamond:

      BB checks, Hero bets $5.50, CO raises to $21.25, BB folds, Hero ...
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      I don't think we can get away from our hand with top two on such a draw heavy board. So the question is whether we should push or call.

      Given that huge raise size, I think we can't call so we should just reshove over that. A lot of the time we will chop, sometimes we will lose to sets and sometimes we will be ahead of combodraws llike J:sT or A:dT.

      Board: 6d4sKsQd
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 43.18% 30.68% 12.50% { KcQs }
      MP3 56.82% 44.32% 12.50% { 66, 44, KQs, AsJs, AdTd, AsTs, JsTs, 8d7d, 7d5d, KQo }

      We already put in 8$ on the Turn and we need to call 17$ more to win a pot of 52.50 = 32.4% pot odds. I'm assuming that CO is just pushing directly over our Turn bet (cos we are going to reshove anyway)

      Since pot equity = 43.18% > pot odds = 32.4%, this is a snap push.