[NL20-NL50] NL50 SH - T9s: trips vs raise

    • Lunitis
      Lunitis
      Gold
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,132
      SB: 38/11
      1.1 af
      64% fold vs cbet
      230h

      BB: 22/17
      2.8 af
      73% fold bb vs BU steal, 15% call
      43% fold vs cbet flop
      15% raise cbet flop oop
      48% wwsf
      63% bet turn after raise flop
      94k hands

      Saw him donking draws small size, once 3 way like this one.

      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BB: $49.83 (99.7 bb)
      MP: $54.48 (109 bb)
      CO: $50.53 (101.1 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $86.77 (173.5 bb)
      SB: $71.53 (143.1 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with 9 T
      2 folds, Hero raises to $1.25, SB calls $1, BB calls $0.75

      Flop: ($3.75) T 8 T (3 players)
      SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $2.50, SB calls $2.50, BB raises to $13.50, Hero..
  • 7 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi.

      I dont think our hand is strong enough to rejam here. Ill flat this and call it off on a blank turn while foldig on .
    • pokerferrer
      pokerferrer
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.03.2008 Posts: 6,347
      Really sick, especially with this note, which means his check-raise is shifted towards strong ready hands. I wouldn't expect unknown fish to overplay 8x, unless he didn't lose huge pot before and was in tilt. With AT and KT I think it's call, QT - marginally, JT and T9, I think, we have to fold. And his sizing...
      There is only 2 possible worth hands J:h9 and 9:h7 - it's too narrow.
    • Lunitis
      Lunitis
      Gold
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,132
      Was the reg raising pokerferrer :(
    • pokerferrer
      pokerferrer
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.03.2008 Posts: 6,347
      Ohh, it is a bit different. How often regs raise with such sizing paired flops with fish in pot with flush-draws? I think never, so if we call flop we can't fold on any hearts later.
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      I actually think his raise sizes looks a lot like some sort of combodraw or TX hand and our TX has a weak kicker but is too strong to fold flop so i would prefer taking the line i suggested previously.
    • pokerferrer
      pokerferrer
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.03.2008 Posts: 6,347
      There is not much combo-draws (2-3 combos), and every Tx is stronger then we are. So I think calling vs this range is just losing money on later streets. So I would prefer just to fold. And one more argument for folding is on the flop we are in sandwich after this raise and fish still can have here Tx better.
      The other question is can reg try to bluff us out of here and stack light vs fish with hands like A8s, or mb JJ, 99... If that is so we can definitely call here.
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      i dont think it's out of the question for him to have something like K:hQ as well. So unless we have the read that the reg is really super straightforward and really on the passive side (doesn't seem like the case to me), then we could argue for a fold if his range is only boats, stronger TX and combodraws. But if his range is wider than that then TX is way too strong to fold here.