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[NL20-NL50] Nl25 FR, KK

    • gambleris
      Joined: 25.11.2007 Posts: 82
      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 7 Players - Hand History Converter

      CO: $35.50
      BTN: $38.45
      SB: $25.90
      BB: $12.95
      UTG: $30.10
      UTG+1: $26.90
      Hero (MP): $24.65

      Pre-Flop: K:diamond: K:heart: dealt to Hero (MP)
      2 folds, Hero raises to $1, CO calls $1, 3 folds

      Flop: ($2.35) 3:diamond: J:spade: J:diamond: (2 Players)
      Hero bets $1.85, CO calls $1.85

      Turn: ($6.05) 9:heart: (2 Players)
      Hero bets $4, CO calls $4

      River: ($14.05) 7:diamond: (2 Players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $6.25, Hero folds

      Results: $14.05 Pot ($0.65 Rake)
      CO mucked and WON $13.40 (+$6.55 NET)

      Opponent stats : 44/8/0,88 WTSD:29. I was thinking i can't beat anything on river. I put him on J or flush. He could possibly hold lower overpair. Maybe i should i try a blockbet on a river ?
  • 4 replies
    • kukac26
      Joined: 02.11.2007 Posts: 126
      Use a hand converter please, as reading through this is a bit of a pain.

      He doesn' have a J because he would be scared of the flush and you'd be walking into a a raise on the flop and turn. Axd is possible, but so are 88-QQ.

      I'd pay the river bet... you're bound to be ahead in more than 46% of the cases.
    • gambleris
      Joined: 25.11.2007 Posts: 82
      sorry but i do not agree with you. Opponent is pretty loose but passive. I am thinking that he thinks i will be agresive all the way, but he is too passive to raise me, because he is afraid to scare me away. He might have drawn the flush, because i noticed that these type of players overestimate flush draw. Also he might have 88-AA and i think he wuold play them same way. So to me all these 3 possibilities are equal and i want to hear oppinion of coaches.
    • Faye6891
      Joined: 09.11.2007 Posts: 1,234
      I'd bet a little bit less. Since I'd usually make a 2/3 of pot c-bet, that's what I'd do here since there isn't much to protect against, flush is not too dnagerous against only one player.

      Turn I'd play check/call and reevaluate the river.

      As played, it's a tough spot on the river. Against an aggressive player, I'm calling. But since this one is passive, folding is fine IMO.
      You could have tried blockbetting too, $4.7~$5. Since I believe he could call with worse hands as well.
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I can´t fold river against 44/8 stats.
      I think that I´ll rather making 8$ valuebet/fold, since he might look me up with any pair.