[NL2-NL10] NL2 FR AJo

    • Dawidas888
      Dawidas888
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Known Players:
      UTG3: $3.05 - 153 bb
      MP1: $0.76 - 38 bb
      MP2: $4.99 - 250 bb
      MP3: $3.95 - 198 bb
      CO: $1.99 - 100 bb
      BU: $6.68 - 334 bb
      SB: $4.30 - 215 bb
      BB: $2.86 - 143 bb

      0.01/0.02 No Limit Hold'em (8 Handed)
      Hand recorder for this hand: PokerStrategy.com SideKick 1.1.417.4

      Preflop: Hero is BU with A:club: , J:heart:
      SB posts small blind ($0.01), BB posts big blind ($0.02), UTG3 folds, MP1 raises for $0.76, 3 folds, Hero calls, SB calls, BB 3-bets $2.84, Hero folds, SB folds, BB gets uncalled back ($2.10)

      Flop: ($3.04 - 152 bb) Q:diamond: , 9:heart: , 5:spade: (2 Players)

      Turn: ($3.04 - 152 bb) J:club: (2 Players)

      River: ($3.04 - 152 bb) J:diamond: (2 Players)

      -----

      MP1 just got sucked out on in a big pot and is shipping any 2.
      SB is total fish 96 / 65 over 76 hands.
      BB is 23 / 3 over 36 hands.

      Preflop: happy to call MP1 and happy that SB joins. However, when BB ships over the top I'm pretty sure I'm beat. The question is do I have equity to call?

      I need 29.80% equity to break-even and if BB's range is TT+, AQ+ I don't have enough so I think my fold was correct.

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 22.97% 22.48% 0.49% { random }
      MP3 23.58% 22.37% 1.21% { AcJh }
      CO 53.45% 52.28% 1.17% { TT+, AQs+, AQo+ }
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Dawidas,

      I think that folding to BBs shove is definitely the correct play. No doubt there.

      The initial call is an interesting one because you are essentially putting in 38 BBs but if your reads are correct then we should be fine. However, don't expect a super +ev spot unless he literally ships any 2 cards.

      Bottom line is that your call/fold is fine.