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[NL20-NL50] 50NL river decision

    • Yozan
      Joined: 01.01.2010 Posts: 2,181
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (UTG): $93.31 (186.6 bb)
      MP: $61.61 (123.2 bb)
      CO: $57.47 (114.9 bb)
      BTN: $37.32 (74.6 bb)
      SB: $50.50 (101 bb)
      BB: $54.38 (108.8 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with 5 5
      Hero raises to $1.50, MP calls $1.50, 4 folds

      Flop: ($3.75) T 4 2 (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.50, MP calls $2.50

      Turn: ($8.75) 3 (2 players)
      Hero bets $6, MP calls $6

      River: ($20.75) Q (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP bets $13, Hero calls $13

      Villain is 22/15 3b 6.5(never 3b vs early) ,
      call open 17,
      BIP 100,
      AF 1.50/3/6
      fold to cbet 44/33/0
      raise cbet 0/2 ,
      240hands sample

      Without special dinamics I decide to go for the barelling mode ,due the fact I can rep a very strong range,and I think villain will play pretty faced up.
      Once I get called and get more EQ decide to go for the barelling mode hoping to protect my hand against floats with great EQ on the board..I think is still value vs AQ.AK.AJ.Fd's + Villain will fold without history pairs that peels once ,regarding his agresion factor OTT ,I expect him to make here a move with sets.
      OTR I don't see the reason for a bet,I can't see what pays OTT and fold OTR,I don't think VIllain has that much 10x hands in his range and def wont valuebet OTR.
      I am pretty much facing a Q that hits OTR and bluffs once he bets.
      I didn't like the Queen,because hands like KQfd,AQ, are there ,ofc QQ also in his range,his River AF decide me to make this call...
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      Turn: we can either use 55 for its showdown value, or turn it into a semi bluff on the turn. I dont expect too much FE though so we must fire river again.

      So u either cc turn cf river to bluffcatch vs acehighs and overcards and draws, or u bet turn and river to try folding out TX and some midpairs.