[NL20-NL50] SH25 ZOOM light 3bet > 3 barrel.

    • Millsyuk
      Joined: 08.06.2009 Posts: 435
      Villain is nitty reg.

      19/14/1.5 Ft3B80 4B13 only 45 hands

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
      SB ($19.14)
      BB ($19.73)
      UTG ($35.72)
      UTG+1 ($25)
      CO ($29.94)
      Hero ($89.48)

      Dealt to Hero K:spade: 7:spade:

      fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.75, fold, Hero raises to $2.25, fold, fold, UTG+1 calls $1.50

      FLOP ($4.85) 4:spade: 3:spade: 8:diamond:

      UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $3, UTG+1 calls $3

      TURN ($10.85) 4:spade: 3:spade: 8:diamond: 5:heart:

      UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $6.50, UTG+1 calls $6.50

      RIVER ($23.85) 4:spade: 3:spade: 8:diamond: 5:heart: A:club:

      UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $14, UTG+1 folds

      Hero shows K:spade: 7:spade:

      Hero wins $22.78

      Is checking turn too weak? I expect to have at least 30% equity here and give him a range of 99-QQ, AA/KK I think he 4bets pre. I can also fold out AQ/Jss by betting turn.

      If the river misses my outs and isn't an A should I always give up here? Should a K be checked?

  • 3 replies
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      Flop and Turn are really standard bets. That would be my default play even without Turning the gutshot. You'll need a good reason not to bet the Turn (maybe the board reduced your fold equity when it further coordinated the board or paired the board)

      I wouldn't bet blank rivers, I would however bet Q/A as a bluff, and valuebet my outs (, 6, K). That's already a good amount of the deck (40% of the deck)

      Would need more stats on Fold to River cbet, WTSD and Fold to F and T cbet in order to consider firing on blank rivers.
    • pokerferrer
      Joined: 05.03.2008 Posts: 6,347
      mbml, and what if you get raised on the turn? What if you didn't hit gatshot and still got raised? Is it bet-folding?
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      That depends on the size right? Look at your equity vs a raising range, and compare it to the pot odds.

      With the gutshot to go with the flush draw, i think we can call most of the smaller raise sizes. If we got check/jammed on, we need 13$ more to win a pot of 50$ (26% pot odds) - I think we are committed here since we probably have around 25-28% equity vs a c/jam range.

      Without the gutshot I think we should usually c/fold