[NL20-NL50] NL50 Is there Value OTR?

    • Yozan
      Yozan
      Platinum
      Joined: 01.01.2010 Posts: 2,181
      CO is a fish
      BB is 23/19 3b 6 SQ 3,AF 2/2(every street),fold to cbet 56/20/67 600hands
      hm,I expect him to SQ AQ,Ak pre just because I played loose and teh CO is a station.
      I feel there is value OTR against KQ,or Qj ulinkely but don't see what else could he play like that,once I have theJ :diamond: ,some of his broadways combos are blocked.

      If I bet what size it should be??



      CO: $41.03 (82.1 bb)
      BTN: $50 (100 bb)
      SB: $50 (100 bb)
      BB: $50 (100 bb)
      Hero (MP): $54.64 (109.3 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP with J J
      Hero raises to $1.50, CO calls $1.50, 2 folds, BB calls $1

      Flop: ($4.75) 5 J Q (3 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $3.50, CO folds, BB calls $3.50

      Turn: ($11.75) 3 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $8.50, BB calls $8.50

      River: ($28.75) T (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero????
  • 4 replies
    • cutegoldfish
      cutegoldfish
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.11.2009 Posts: 4,335
      i dont expect him to have a backdoor flush draw so often i think its usually a pair and since we have JJ its likely he has Qx that can call the river and its unlikely to be 2p (i dont expect him to call QT, maybe he does).

      how much would KQ or AQ call? im guessing something like 15
    • Yozan
      Yozan
      Platinum
      Joined: 01.01.2010 Posts: 2,181
      Oke I bet 15 OTR and I get raised...Should I EVER fold here????

      Also If Villain is aggro OTR,should I bet sma'ish (or it doesn't matter because if he HAs a pair won't bluff it )
    • Yozan
      Yozan
      Platinum
      Joined: 01.01.2010 Posts: 2,181
      Oke I bet 15 OTR and I get raised...Should I EVER fold here????

      Also If Villain is aggro OTR,should I bet sma'ish (or it doesn't matter because if he HAs a pair won't bluff it )
    • cutegoldfish
      cutegoldfish
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.11.2009 Posts: 4,335
      i dont think hes raising anything on the river thats not a flush, sets would have raised on the turn and 2p would just call, so i think the river check/raise is the flush and we can fold our hand.

      if hes aggro i believe he would make moves on the flop and turn, not on the river. i dont like a small bet because it induces raises (unless thats the goal)

      cgf