[NL2-NL10] NL10SH KK squeezed facing callers C/R

    • DaPhunk
      Joined: 01.03.2008 Posts: 2,805
      Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      Hero (BTN): $19.41
      SB: $21.09
      BB: $14.87
      UTG: $4.00
      MP: $10.00
      CO: $11.51

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BTN with K :diamond: K :spade:
      1 fold, MP raises to $0.30, CO calls $0.30, Hero raises to $1.20, 3 folds, CO calls $0.90

      Flop: ($2.85) 9 :spade: Q :heart: 6 :diamond: (2 players)
      CO checks, Hero bets $1.85, CO calls $1.85

      Turn: ($6.55) 7 :diamond: (2 players)
      CO checks, Hero bets $3.15, CO raises to $8.46, Hero folds

      Villain is 24/19 on 160 hands. he folds 71% overall vs cbet, and has aggression frequencies in the low 20's. (except on flop 37%) He folds to 3bet 50% of the time.

      I time-banked before betting because I was trying to estimate his range and he snap-shoved. I don't know if I induced a move or not, but I forced myself to fold. Despite the fact that his pre-flop line didn't add up to me I still couldn't see this guy making a move like this without the percieved nuts.
  • 2 replies
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694

      This is a tough spot especially based on the snap shove timing and the slightly deeper stacks. Ev of both decisions are close.

      If he had minraised turn i think we can fold. Since he check jammed in a 3b pot i think calling it off is fine too (some draws and maybe he checkjams aq for protection) but perhaps based on all your reads folding could be slightly better.
    • CPallo
      Joined: 12.04.2012 Posts: 4,343
      Folding seems very reasonable, especially if he folds to bets 70 %. In this case the hand is most likely slow-played set, not that much of a AQ or stuff. So fold is fine. I understand his jam as you guys don't have that much stack left and he would most likely be scared of 8, T or club.