[NL20-NL50] SH25 ZOOM bottom set line vs fish

    • Tomaloc
      Tomaloc
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.01.2011 Posts: 6,858
      PokerStars - $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BTN: $33.13
      SB: $33.44
      BB: $8.69
      Hero (UTG): $28.76
      MP: $38.74
      CO: $41.43

      SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has 8:spade: 8:club:

      Hero raises to $0.85, MP calls $0.85, fold, fold, SB calls $0.75, BB calls $0.60
      mp open limper played 5 out of 10 hands, sb reg, bb prob random fish

      Flop: ($3.40, 4 players) T:spade: 8:diamond: K:club:
      SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $2.22 :facepalm: , MP calls $2.22, fold, fold

      Turn: ($7.84, 2 players) J:club:
      Hero bets $5.10, MP calls $5.10

      River: ($18.04, 2 players) 6:heart:
      Hero...? ($20.59 effective) :facepalm:

      rly hate my sizings
      anyway, better to 80% flop and then everything gets easier? ship all non-4-straight rivers

      i remember i rly hated that turn card because it completed a lot of random gapper straights :p
      do we ship it if we get turn raised, close eyes and hope for KJ TJ?

      [edit]
      decided to stop being lazy, depends on how many 2p we give him


      Board: T:spade: 8:diamond: K:club:  J:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    40.73%  40.73%   0.00% { 8s8c }
      MP3    59.27%  59.27%   0.00% { TT, AQs, KJs, Q9s, JTs, 97s, AQo, KJo }
  • 3 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi.

      Flop size is fine but you should bet larger on turn especially when u are now headsup vs the fish. Bet 6.50$ and push all non coordinating rivers.

      The equity calculation is very inaccurate. He will have KTo JTo and a bunch of KX hands which he is def going to call down 3 streets like KQ and AK. Or are u referring to what happens if u get raised?

      I think it would still be a call. KTo was left out and u probably are committed here if u have 40% equity.
    • Tomaloc
      Tomaloc
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.01.2011 Posts: 6,858
      yeah that was scenario vs raise. ez everytime since i forgot KTo i guess

      don't you think i can just bomb the flop $3 or something? i think the reg just won't stick around and the fish don't care.
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      I think its more important to have balanced flop sizing and its not as though we have problems getting all the money in by the river so i dont see too much point in betting larger.

      But its definitely fine since our 3way betting range is going to be really strong anyway and with 2/3 players being fishes i suppose balance isnt going to be so important.