[NL20-NL50] KJs oop nl 25 sh

    • dzikson999
      dzikson999
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.08.2010 Posts: 532
      PokerStars - $0.25 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      MP: $25.00
      CO: $33.63
      BTN: $12.34
      Hero (SB): $25.10
      BB: $27.45
      UTG: $27.12

      Hero posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero has K:club: J:club:

      fold, fold, fold, BTN calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1.00, BB calls $0.75, fold

      Flop: ($2.25, 2 players) J:diamond: 9:club: Q:diamond:
      Hero checks, BB bets $2.35, Hero calls $2.35

      Turn: ($6.95, 2 players) 5:club:
      Hero checks, BB bets $5.10, Hero raises to $21.75 and is all-in, BB calls $16.65

      River: ($50.45, 2 players) A:diamond:

      Villain is 17/12 , AG f 4.3, 3 bet 6 %, wtsd 27%, cbet when check to -100 % around 200 hands
      What do you think about my line ?!
      Do you think i can create enough fold equity + my hand equity to be ev + play against his cold calling range Bvb?!
      I see it like this :
      http://www.pokerstrategy.com
      Board: QdJd9c5c
      Equity Win Tie
      SB 47.58% 46.87% 0.71% { KcJc }
      BB 52.42% 51.72% 0.71% { 99, AJs-ATs, KQs, KTs, QTs+, J9s+, Td9d, AJo-ATo, KQo, QJo }

      So he should fold out 24 combos (Aj,A10o and J10) and if he calls with KQo type off hand and stronger i see it like this :
      http://www.pokerstrategy.com
      Board: QdJd9c5c
      Equity Win Tie
      SB 32.48% 31.19% 1.29% { KcJc }
      BB 67.52% 66.22% 1.29% { 99, KQs, KTs, QTs+, J9s, AdTd, AcTc, Td9d, KQo, QJo }
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Hi,

      Players would usually not take this line for value, so I don´t think he would b/f Qx and since you´re ahead of draws/air I would rather let him bluff on the river (also Qx would very often check back river)
      So my line would be c/c turn and c/c most rivers (c/rai if I hit flush, lead with J and maybe also that river card as bluff)

      best regards,