[NL2-NL10] NL10 SH Speed AJ Straight

    • Alleen86
      Joined: 27.05.2010 Posts: 5,253

      It's hard for me to believe he picked up backdor flushdraw, but I think it's to expensive to find out.. Don't think he will bet that big anything else..

      BB: 67/13/1,3/10 (VPIP/PFR/AF/H)

      IPoker, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BB: $16.26 (162.6 bb)
      MP: $4 (40 bb)
      CO: $11.18 (111.8 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $22.71 (227.1 bb)
      SB: $4.64 (46.4 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with A J
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.20, SB folds, BB calls $0.10

      Flop: ($0.45) 7 K Q (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.30, BB calls $0.30

      Turn: ($1.05) T (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.80, BB calls $0.80

      River: ($2.65) 8 (2 players)
      BB bets $6.60, Hero folds
  • 4 replies
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Alleen,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: Huge fish = big bet on the turn for us so I would just pot it or even slightly overbet.

      That's a tough spot but backdoor flushes are definitely possible.

      The only question is if he can do this as a bluff with missed hearts or for value with worse? And given the low amount of info it's hard to tell but usually the answer is no.

      So good fold imo.
    • GreenPiece
      Joined: 03.06.2010 Posts: 5,962
      I think you could raise bigger preflop vs this fish. If he's gonna call 5x or even 10x you can experiment with it. More value from him, better for us. Or did you perform such a small raise because SB was aggressive?

      I think I would play the same way on the flop and on the turn, mayhap betting even bigger vs this guy.

      On the river what can we assume? It can be J9 as well as a backdoor flush. We need around 44% for a call.

      Board: 7:heart: K:spade: Q:heart:  T:spade:  8:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      SB     70.21%  70.21%   0.00% { 88, J9s, AsKs, AsQs, KsQs, AsJs, KsJs, QsJs, AsTs, KsTs, QsTs, JsTs, As9s, Ks9s, Qs9s, Ts9s, As8s, Ks8s, Qs8s, Js8s, Ts8s, 9s8s, As7s, Ks7s, Qs7s, Js7s, Ts7s, 9s7s, 8s7s, As6s, Ks6s, Qs6s, Js6s, Ts6s, 9s6s, 8s6s, 7s6s, As5s, Ks5s, Qs5s, Js5s, Ts5s, 9s5s, 8s5s, 7s5s, 6s5s, As4s, Ks4s, Ts4s, 8s4s, 7s4s, 6s4s, 5s4s, As3s, Ks3s, Ts3s, 8s3s, 6s3s, 5s3s, 4s3s, As2s, Ks2s, Ts2s, 8s2s, 5s2s, 4s2s, 3s2s, J9o }
      BB     29.79%  29.79%   0.00% { AdJc }

      I removed some flush combinations and added what appears to be a bluff but still we can't gather enough bluffs to justify this call I think.
    • CPallo
      Joined: 12.04.2012 Posts: 4,350
      I wouldn't open 5x or 10x pre against such a huge fish with AJ, we just get ourselves into trouble. If he is this imbalanced, I could easily open 4x with my better hands and min-raise with worse, he ain't gonna take a note on us.
    • Alleen86
      Joined: 27.05.2010 Posts: 5,253
      Originally posted by GreenPiece
      Or did you perform such a small raise because SB was aggressive?
      Thank you for analysis! I wasn't adjusting with this bet size, it's my standard bet size from the BTN. But yes, I agree that against loose/passive players at the blinds I could deviate from that and raise bigger better range. Recently I started to do this...

      I should bet bigger the turn, but probably would never call that river bet..

      Thanks! ;)