[NL2-NL10] NL2 FR AKo vs a donk bet

    • Dawidas888
      Dawidas888
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Known Players:
      UTG2: $2.20 - 110 bb
      UTG3: $2.38 - 119 bb
      MP1: $2.11 - 106 bb
      MP2: $2.00 - 100 bb
      MP3: $0.41 - 21 bb
      CO: $4.01 - 201 bb
      BU: $1.78 - 89 bb
      SB: $1.06 - 53 bb
      BB: $4.77 - 239 bb

      0.01/0.02 No Limit Hold'em (9 Handed)
      Hand recorder for this hand: PokerStrategy.com SideKick 1.1.417.4

      Preflop: Hero is MP1 with A:heart: , K:spade:
      SB posts small blind ($0.01), BB posts big blind ($0.02), 2 folds, Hero raises for $0.08, 5 folds, BB calls

      Flop: ($0.17 - 8.50 bb) T:heart: , 9:heart: , 2:club: (2 Players)
      BB bets $0.12, Hero raises for $0.36, BB 3-bets $0.94, Hero folds, BB gets uncalled back ($0.70)

      -----

      BB was unknown.

      Preflop: standard OR.

      Flop: the donk bet and it's size signals strenghth and I could just fold here. I can't call it as I don't have the required odds.
      My only other option here is to raise as I still have a weak draw (OC + backdoors). Easy fold vs a 3bet.

      Hands he could be betting that would fold to my raise:
      88-33, maybe 9x.

      Hands that wouldn't fold:
      AA-99, 22, Tx, strong draws

      For the raise to be successful I need to have 55.4% FE which given his high bet size and the possible combos is unlikely.
      All in all, I think my raise is not a completely bad option but just folding here would yeld higher EV in the long-run as this bet signals a lot of strength.
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Dawidas,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: Since he is unknown and he donks 2/3 pot on a somewhat wet board I would fold all hands that we have little equity with. However, with two overs and backdoors I think a semibluff is fine. Villain can donk/fold some pairs like 88 or 9x and there are turn cards we can continue on.