[NL20-NL50] NL20 SH AK 200 deep

    • SPeedFANat1c
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 4,960
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.20(BB) Replayer
      SB ($27.03)
      Hero ($40.73)
      UTG ($11.66)
      UTG+1 ($40.46)
      CO ($8.75)
      BTN ($20)

      Dealt to Hero A:spade: K:heart:

      fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.60, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $2.20, UTG+1 calls $1.60

      FLOP ($4.50) Q:club: 4:spade: J:diamond:

      Hero bets $2.40, UTG+1 calls $2.40

      TURN ($9.30) Q:club: 4:spade: J:diamond: K:diamond:

      Hero checks, UTG+1 bets $5.20, Hero calls $5.20

      RIVER ($19.70) Q:club: 4:spade: J:diamond: K:diamond: J:heart:

      Hero checks, UTG+1 bets $9.80, Hero folds

      UTG+1 wins $18.72

      cbet 2/3 Qxxfd and checks till sd w K high IP
      cbet 1/2 AKxfd w AT vs fish, cbet 2/3 turn, cbh K river
      steal in SB, cbet 1/2 Qxxfd, fold to raise
      steal in SB, cbet TJxfd 2/3, check till sd sd w 45s - no draw
      cbet 1/2 IP AA2 w Q high, check low cards till sd

      Preflop I should have just called, I have heard that being deep 3betin OOP is bad even w AK, only 3bet the nuts like KK+, because they can call and outplay IP with weaker hand.

      Also this player as notes and stats show - cbets flop and gives up on later streets, so would be easy to play if I flat.

      On the other hand - he cbets post flop good amount of time. So I can take it down often by cbet.

      On turn I did not cbet because I think I just donate money. Once he called floip, its strong and also there are many 2pairs and straigt.

      Once I checked, I thougth I need to call once and reevaluate. Also I still have weak GS. And he is agro on turn, maybe bluffs with pair+draw.

      River never is a bluff I think.
  • 2 replies
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694

      Preflop: He opens 12-13% from MP -> Easy call here. 3betting isolates you against stronger hands.

      As played,

      Flop: Bet here, we can fold out TT-22.

      Turn: Our options are between bet/fold and check/call and check/fold. I honestly don't see how we can bet for value here

      Board: Qc4sJdKd
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 39.89% 30.44% 9.45% { AsKh }
      MP3 60.11% 50.66% 9.45% { QQ-JJ, 44, ATs+, KJs+, QJs, T9s, AQo+ }

      So our options are to c/f or c/c. C/F feels pretty weak though I don't think we are really faring well vs a Turn betting range. I think c/c once and c/f river seems reasonable.

    • SPeedFANat1c
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 4,960
      He opens 12-13% from MP -> Easy call here. 3betting isolates you against stronger hands.

      I think the reason is not necesarily 12% open, but main thing how much he folds to 3bet what he opens. In 12% there are still many hands which I beat.

      Avg f3bet is 67, which is high, so might be that he respects 3bets, so for that reason I would agree that I isolate myself.

      Of course the avg f3bet might be very inaccurate because most of the stats are from steals I think.