[NL20-NL50] NL20 SH AQ dry board vs donkbets

    • SPeedFANat1c
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,150
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.20(BB) Replayer
      SB ($28.08)
      BB ($25.71)
      UTG ($11.54)
      CO ($20)
      Hero ($20)

      UTG posts $0.20

      Dealt to Hero A:spade: Q:club:

      UTG checks, fold, Hero raises to $0.80, SB calls $0.70, fold, fold

      FLOP ($2) 6:spade: 9:diamond: 9:heart:

      SB bets $1, Hero calls $1

      TURN ($4) 6:spade: 9:diamond: 9:heart: 6:club:

      SB bets $2, Hero calls $2

      RIVER ($8) 6:spade: 9:diamond: 9:heart: 6:club: T:club:

      SB checks, Hero checks

      Donkbet is small, but I thouth this as well could becasue of small smample and I have decent bluffcatcher with some outs so I call.

      Turn is bit worse but still very dry and his bet is small, and he is agro on turn so called.
  • 2 replies
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      Flop: Really standard call here.

      Turn: Honestly he doesn't rep too much to me so I don't mind calling. Would be weird if he ends up donking 9X/6X for value on Flop and Turn.

      Board has no draws besides 78 though, and I think 78 may often give up on the Turn. It's rainbow so there's no flush draw out there. Folding could also be fine.

      Preflop stats: He is 21/16 so he's on the tighter side. I think he shouldn't have too many speculative hands preflop, so his calling range may be weighted more towards pocket pairs, which makes me more inclined to fold the Turn.

      It's close though, my guess is that folding Turn is slightly better than calling Turn but you can't go too wrong calling vs a half pot bet with 25% pot odds.
    • SPeedFANat1c
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,150
      He did not have FH, but had JJ