Hi mbml
Thanks for the evaluation!
I agree that QQ wouldn't c/r flop but rather call it faster
It's interesting how I thought that I should bet all my air hands on this flop as I believed that PPs are definitely folding this flop
My answer to your exercise:
Assuming quite an optimistic range of calling 3bet and c/c the flop I have 47.71% of equity.
Board: Qd6h6cQc
Equity Win Tie
MP2 47.71% 45.35% 2.36% { TT }
MP3 52.29% 49.94% 2.36% { JJ-77, ATs+, KQs, QTs+, AQo, KQo }
If the range would be tighter (less suited aces calling flop) I have 36.36% equity.
Board: Qd6h6cQc
Equity Win Tie
MP2 36.36% 33.98% 2.38% { TT }
MP3 63.64% 61.26% 2.38% { JJ-88, AQs+, KQs, QTs+, AQo, KQo }
If I remove AK and 99/88 then I'm really behind:
Board: Qd6h6cQc
Equity Win Tie
MP2 3.50% 1.05% 2.45% { TT }
MP3 96.50% 94.06% 2.45% { JJ-TT, AQs, KQs, QTs+, AQo, KQo }
So all my equity comes from him calling worse PPs and missed aces
Thanks for the exercise!
Dawidas