[NL2-NL10] J8s resteal vs Bu reg

    • axeboy90
      Joined: 26.01.2010 Posts: 3,023
      Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2191494
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      UTG: $29.32 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 17, 3B: 5, AF: 2.5, Hands: 63
      MP: $10.00 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 19, 3B: 13, AF: 3.0, Hands: 151
      CO: $10.76 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 13, 3B: 6, AF: 3.1, Hands: 1128
      BTN: $16.94 - VPIP: 55, PFR: 8, 3B: 0, AF: 0.9, Hands: 38
      SB: $13.09 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 20, 3B: 10, AF: 6.3, Hands: 207
      Hero (BB): $11.26 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 19, 3B: 8, AF: 3.3, Hands: 32788

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BB with J :club: 8 :club:
      3 folds, BTN calls $0.10, 1 fold, Hero raises to $0.35, BTN calls $0.25

      Flop: ($0.75) 9 :diamond: 6 :heart: J :spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.60, BTN calls $0.60

      Turn: ($1.95) 6 :club: (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.40, BTN calls $1.40

      River: ($4.75) Q :spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.30, BTN calls $2.30

      Final Pot: $9.35
      BTN mucks K :heart: 9 :spade:
      Hero shows J :club: 8 :club:
      Hero wins $8.93
      (Rake: $0.42)

      nvm wrong stats
  • 4 replies
    • Dawidas888
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Hi axeboy90

      I am not sure if this is the right hand history but BU just limped to the pot according to the one you posted. This would make his limp a normal limp and not a steal while your raise would be a normal raise and not a 3bet.

      Preflop: vs a limp I wouldn't raise J8s as we will often be dominated and we don't want to play big pots OoP. So I would just check.

      Flop: as played, I would cbet this board for value vs his lower PPs/straight draws and for protection vs overcards.

      Turn: I would prefer a c/c here as whatever he called with on the flop he is not folding on the turn and we could bet the river for value if he checks behind with his worse hands.

      River: as played, if he had some sort of straight draw (QT/T8/KQ) he improved and his lower PPs are not calling a 3rd bet (though with 55/8 he might be loose enough) so I would just check/fold here. Also, his AF is 0.9 so I don't expect him to bluff here at all.

      Hope this helps
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      Preflop: I think this is close between a limp and a raise. You have 2 mid/high cards and they are suited and connected so I think your hand plays and fares well vs a 50%+ range. The more villain plays fit or fold postflop (high fold to F cbet), the more you should raise here preflop.

      Flop: If you think he is loose, you should definitely be 2 barreling here for value vs 9X and straight draws.

      River: I would c/f this river which improves many of those hands like T8 or QT or Q8. I would bet again with AJ/KJ though.
    • axeboy90
      Joined: 26.01.2010 Posts: 3,023
      Thanks for the replies guys. I'm better taking initiative preflop with a fairly good hand like that so I raise more often than I call in this spot. The thing to take into account is that I didn't had stats on table so I didn't know his vpip or pfr. I just knew he was a fish and thought his range is wide enough to 2nd barrel. I cbetted the river because I think he calls many worse pp's and 9x's.

      I'm still wondering (given his hand at showdown) if my bet is profitable on the river.
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      I think the bet is -EV even if villain always calls all his 9X which is definitely not going to be the case. You lose to J9-JA, and you lose to some QX, and 6X, and straights. Basically you are an underdog vs his River calling range so you cannot bet River. And if he bets, there are hardly any busted draws so you are crushed vs his betting range unless you think he turns 9X into a bluff which I really doubt.

      This means that this an easy check, and when he bets it's an easy fold.