[NL2-NL10] NL5 FR KK made flush but...

    • ramadas
      ramadas
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.09.2011 Posts: 462
      There was only one card to beat me and he had it. Should I play this hand differently?

      Poker Stars $5.00 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players - View hand 2193170
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      MP1: $3.40 - VPIP: 12, PFR: 6, 3B: 3, AF: 2.0, Hands: 93
      MP2: $3.65 - VPIP: 25, PFR: 17, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 12
      CO: $1.90 - VPIP: 0, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 13
      BTN: $5.90 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 14, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 29
      SB: $4.14 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 8, 3B: 1, AF: 1.0, Hands: 236
      Hero (BB): $5.00 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 12, 3B: 3, AF: 2.4, Hands: 70815
      UTG: $5.17 - VPIP: 50, PFR: 50, 3B: 25, AF: 6.0, Hands: 10
      UTG+1: $9.23 - VPIP: 13, PFR: 8, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 64
      UTG+2: $2.78 - VPIP: 40, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 10

      Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero is BB with K :heart: K :spade:
      UTG raises to $0.30, 7 folds, Hero raises to $0.90, UTG raises to $1.50, Hero calls $0.60

      Flop: ($3.02) 7 :diamond: 8 :heart: J :heart: (2 players)
      Hero checks, UTG bets $0.75, Hero raises to $3.50, UTG calls $2.75

      Turn: ($10.02) 3 :heart: (2 players)

      River: ($10.02) Q :heart: (2 players)

      Final Pot: $10.02
      Hero shows K :heart: K :spade:
      UTG shows A :club: A :heart:
      UTG wins $9.60
      (Rake: $0.42)
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,696
      Hi.

      I would just shove preflop. He has already invested 30bb and is probably committed into stacking off. I think we are definitely ahead of his shoving range which should contain QQ/AK most of the time, and JJ some of the time.

      Don't forget he's 50 VPIP over a 10 hand sample, which should be a good indication that he's very likely to be aggro and loose. The stats aren't 100% accurate but I think the likelihood of him being aggro is just that much higher.

      About your 3bet size: I think it's a little too large. He raised to 6bb preflop, so making it 3X (18 bb) is kind of large, it's almost the size of a small 4bet. Maybe you can make a slightly smaller 3bet to 75c.