[NL2-NL10] NL5 FR 99 into trips on turn

    • ramadas
      ramadas
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.09.2011 Posts: 462
      Should I fold on the flop and then maybe on the river reraise?

      Poker Stars $5.00 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players - View hand 2193175
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BTN: $4.98 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 15, 3B: 8, AF: 4.0, Hands: 39
      SB: $1.93 - VPIP: 0, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 15
      BB: $5.23 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 13, 3B: 5, AF: 5.5, Hands: 121
      UTG: $1.56 - VPIP: 33, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 3.0, Hands: 12
      UTG+1: $4.64 - VPIP: 10, PFR: 8, 3B: 1, AF: 9.0, Hands: 303
      UTG+2: $3.39 - VPIP: 14, PFR: 8, 3B: 5, AF: 0.0, Hands: 50
      MP1: $4.57 - VPIP: 7, PFR: 4, 3B: 2, AF: 2.3, Hands: 166
      MP2: $6.49 - VPIP: 11, PFR: 9, 3B: 0, AF: 6.0, Hands: 114
      Hero (CO): $5.00 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 12, 3B: 3, AF: 2.4, Hands: 70815

      Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero is CO with 9 :heart: 9 :spade:
      5 folds, Hero raises to $0.20, 2 folds, BB calls $0.15

      Flop: ($0.42) 4 :heart: 2 :heart: T :club: (2 players)
      BB bets $0.26, Hero calls $0.26

      Turn: ($0.94) 9 :club: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.40, BB calls $0.40

      River: ($1.74) 8 :spade: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.75, BB raises to $2.40, Hero calls $1.65

      Final Pot: $6.54
      BB shows Q :heart: J :heart:
      Hero mucks 9 :heart: 9 :spade:
      BB wins $6.27
      (Rake: $0.27)
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi.

      Flop: I'm not folding here - this is definitely a call. Villain is unlikely to donk sets and he probably 3bets JJ+ a lot of the time. He either has some pair, some draw, or some overcards. We are definitely ahead enough of the time to make a call here.

      If you are feeling hardworking, try inserting some hands into PokerStrategy Equilab and see how you fare against a leading range based on what I suggested on the Flop

      Turn: There are so many draws, you should be betting pot here I think. He is not folding TX, and I Doubt he ever folds a flush draw even to a pot sized bet.

      River: I Don't think we can fold, it's very unlikely he has a straight based on the Flop (no straight draws present) and flush draws did miss, and we beat some two pair combos or 88.