[NL2-NL10] NL5 FR KK should I call his river bet anyway?

    • ramadas
      ramadas
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.09.2011 Posts: 462
      I felt I was beat by flush or straight, but should I bet his river bet anyway?

      Poker Stars $5.00 No Limit Hold'em - 7 players - View hand 2193179
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      CO: $7.23 - VPIP: 5, PFR: 1, 3B: 2, AF: 2.6, Hands: 639
      BTN: $12.26 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 11, 3B: 0, AF: 2.8, Hands: 98
      SB: $2.02 - VPIP: 31, PFR: 20, 3B: 21, AF: 4.0, Hands: 45
      BB: $1.41 - VPIP: 38, PFR: 9, 3B: 0, AF: 2.0, Hands: 32
      Hero (UTG): $5.65 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 12, 3B: 3, AF: 2.4, Hands: 70815
      UTG+1: $13.58 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 12, 3B: 2, AF: 3.4, Hands: 266
      MP: $5.57 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 17, 3B: 10, AF: 5.6, Hands: 357

      Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero is UTG with K :heart: K :diamond:
      Hero raises to $0.15, 3 folds, BTN calls $0.15, 1 fold, BB calls $0.10

      Flop: ($0.47) 8 :spade: 7 :spade: 9 :diamond: (3 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.30, BTN raises to $0.85, BB folds, Hero calls $0.55

      Turn: ($2.17) 3 :club: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $1.95, Hero calls $1.95

      River: ($6.07) 6 :spade: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $2.70, Hero folds

      Final Pot: $6.07
      BTN wins $5.82
      (Rake: $0.25)
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi.

      Unless you have reads that your opponent is really aggressive, I think flop is a fold. Your overpair is crushed by a wide variety of hands. Against a range of two pairs (78s 89s 79s), sets (77/88/99), straights (JTs, 56s) and some draws (X:sX or AT/KT/QT), you are going to be a huge underdog with at most 35% equity.

      Your playability is really poor and I don't think that BU is going to be raising you with super weak hands on the Flop like AJ because you have shown significant strength when you cbet into two other players in a 3way pot on a wet flop.

      Turn: If you think your hand is good enough to call the Flop, you should probably call the Turn unless you know that your opponent is raising a lot on the Flop but mostly giving up on his bluffs on the Turn.

      River: PRetty easy fold when everything completes on the River.