[NL20-NL50] 22 set vs tight raise

    • GingerKid
      Joined: 05.08.2007 Posts: 5,506
      iPoker - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 4 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BB: 122.7 BB (VPIP: 22.69, PFR: 19.10, 3Bet Preflop: 7.70, Hands: 3,171)
      Hero (CO): 208.36 BB
      BTN: 115.24 BB (VPIP: 22.69, PFR: 19.28, 3Bet Preflop: 8.23, Hands: 4,176)
      SB: 116.38 BB (VPIP: 42.42, PFR: 30.30, 3Bet Preflop: 14.29, Hands: 33)

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 2:spade: 2:heart:

      Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, BB calls 2 BB

      Flop: (6.5 BB, 2 players) 5:spade: 8:spade: 2:club:
      BB checks, Hero bets 4 BB, BB raises to 14 BB, Hero calls 10 BB

      Turn: (34.5 BB, 2 players) 4:spade:
      BB bets 30 BB, Hero calls 30 BB

      River: (94.5 BB, 2 players) 8:diamond:
      BB bets 75.7 BB, Hero calls 75.7 BB

      BB shows K:spade: T:spade: (Flush, King High) (Pre 52%, Flop 25%, Turn 77%)
      Hero shows 2:spade: 2:heart: (Full House, Twos full of Eights) (Pre 48%, Flop 75%, Turn 23%)
      Hero wins 241.9 BB

      He is very aggro postflop when he has initiative, I almost never saw him doing anything else than bet bet bet large.

      his raise flop is 6% (3/50 times), so could I even find a fold on flop? Also I saw him playing fd aggresive. By looking at his history hands, he bets close to pot size when he hits the board (also with draws), and bets 1/2 when he bluffs.

      so give up on turn, where I win only vs bluff?
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897

      What about 3betting flop? You have a set, his range only has 6 hands better than yours, he will c/r more than that for value and as a bluff anyway. I would not call flop to fold almost ever. You should not forget that you have stacks behind to play on the river as well, you have equity.

      I would personally play like you.. If we miss river it gets a bit tough but we can calculate based on pot odds and his range... It probably still remains a call, our hand is also heavily under-represented when we just call flop.