[NL20-NL50] QQ light call down

    • zumpar
      Joined: 05.02.2012 Posts: 1,185
      dude is 26/21/7 AF:7, ftcb:44, flop raise:44 which is just ridiculous over 400 hands

      AK 3bets, KQ are blocked and i doubt he raises them otf, neither KJ

      so its like sets/FD's, combo draws, gutshots, oesd's
      vs those i got about 53% otr.... only need to be right about 28% of the time though

      so i was planning on calling down on blanks

      river is perfect, only 56s made it and i doubt he just flats that pre OOP
      oesd's which spiked the 8 - dont think he will just check them down cuz he has like no sd eq

      iPoker - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BB: $55.44 (VPIP: 25.63, PFR: 21.45, 3Bet Preflop: 6.72, Hands: 365)
      UTG: $20.75 (VPIP: 23.48, PFR: 18.90, 3Bet Preflop: 8.62, Hands: 904)
      MP: $50.21 (VPIP: 22.36, PFR: 19.25, 3Bet Preflop: 6.06, Hands: 168)
      Hero (CO): $56.14
      BTN: $50.00 (VPIP: 26.25, PFR: 23.28, 3Bet Preflop: 6.50, Hands: 863)
      SB: $126.25 (VPIP: 24.42, PFR: 20.82, 3Bet Preflop: 12.43, Hands: 400)

      SB posts SB $0.25, BB posts BB $0.50

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.75) Hero has Q:spade: Q:heart:

      fold, fold, Hero raises to $1.50, fold, fold, BB calls $1.00

      Flop: ($3.25, 2 players) 7:diamond: 9:diamond: K:club:
      BB checks, Hero bets $2.50, BB raises to $7.50, Hero calls $5.00

      Turn: ($18.25, 2 players) 4:heart:
      BB bets $13.00, Hero calls $13.00

      River: ($44.25, 2 players) 8:heart:
      BB bets $33.44, Hero calls $33.44

      BB shows 5:diamond: 6:diamond: (Straight, Nine High) (Pre 23%, Flop 48%, Turn 34%)
      Hero mucks Q:spade: Q:heart: (One Pair, Queens) (Pre 77%, Flop 52%, Turn 66%)
      BB wins $108.13
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Zumpar,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: Given the history and information on villain we have a call on both flop and turn.

      On the river, besides 56, TJ got there (TJ has an up and down on the flop so it's a very likely part of his range).

      However, there are still quite a few hands that misses and he is very unlikely to valuebet many Kx hands if he even has any in his range so he is limited to 56, TJ and 77/99 and thus I think calling is fine.