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[NL20-NL50] nl 50 jJ fr

    • sandraardnas
      Joined: 11.01.2012 Posts: 2,034
      Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 Pot Limit Hold'em Cash, 8 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      MP1: $130.14 (130.1 bb)
      MP2: $100 (100 bb)
      MP3: $100 (100 bb)
      CO: $100.50 (100.5 bb)
      BTN: $118.02 (118 bb)
      SB: $102.30 (102.3 bb)
      BB: $100 (100 bb)
      Hero (UTG+2): $117.08 (117.1 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG+2 with J J
      Hero raises to $3, MP1 calls $3, 6 folds

      Flop: ($7.50) 2 9 4 (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP1 bets $3.50, Hero calls $3.50

      Turn: ($14.50) 4 (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP1 bets $9, Hero calls $9

      River: ($32.50) 2 (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP1 bets $17.50, Hero folds

      $32.50 pot ($1.46 rake)
      Final Board: 2 9 4 4 2
      MP1 mucked and won $31.04 ($15.54 net)
      Hero mucked J J and lost (-$15.50 net)

      On flop I checked cause I didnt see value in betting - I assummed he calls here with 99-AA and AK, AQ of clubs, well if he calls with lower pocket pairs then he would muck them on TUrn so I was thinking that I can extract value from those hands with bets on Turn and River cause he could not believe me if I checked the Flop.
      Besides he could turn them into bluff on flop as well as AK and AQ.
      I just thought that his betting range is wider than calling range.
      So I checked/called, Turn didnt change anything, he can still be betting with TT, AK and AQ of clubs and bluffing so I checked/called.
      River was just perfect blank and I thought he wont try to bluff me out from my showdown value here and he also probably wont value bet JJ or TT, so I check/folded.
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909

      Do you think your opponent has TT+ in his range preflop? That's the key here because otherwise his value range is very narrow and your hand is under-represented, he thinks you have less than JJ here very often imo so then you can think about calling river.

      It's a spot where you win less than half of the time for sure but the odds don't require you to win that often.