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[NL2-NL10] NL5 89s

    • MarliesB
      Joined: 13.04.2013 Posts: 685
      I tried inducing a bluff, but failed. No stats on villain. Will this induce a bluff often enough to make it more +EV than just betting 2/3pot or so?

      PokerStars - $0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players

      BB: 110 BB (VPIP: 38.46, PFR: 15.38, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 14)
      Hero (UTG): 199.4 BB

      SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has 8:spade: 9:spade:

      Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, CO calls 3 BB, fold, fold, BB calls 2 BB

      Flop: (9.4 BB, 3 players) 8:heart: 3:spade: K:club:
      BB checks, Hero bets 5.4 BB, CO calls 5.4 BB, BB calls 5.4 BB

      Turn: (25.6 BB, 3 players) 8:diamond:
      BB checks, Hero bets 17.2 BB, fold, BB calls 17.2 BB

      River: (60 BB, 2 players) 4:diamond:
      BB checks, Hero bets 3 BB, BB calls 3 BB

      Hero shows 8:spade: 9:spade: (Three of a Kind, Eights) (Pre 39%, Flop 22%, Turn 95%)
      BB mucks Q:club: K:spade: (Two Pair, Kings and Eights) (Pre 61%, Flop 78%, Turn 5%)
      Hero wins 63.2 BB
  • 2 replies
    • CPallo
      Joined: 12.04.2012 Posts: 4,350

      A bit loose opening from UTG IMO, unless you had reads on your villains that they are a) tight or b) they can fold a lot post-flop in position.

      As played, I think your flop cbet is ok, you have mid-pair on dry board and betting should be by far the best option. Turn bet is fine, too, but I'd definitely bet big river myself. No-one on these levels bluff on river vs small bet, they just fold or call. You would have to have spesific read that someone goes nuts on min-bet there, so bet 2/3 yourself. It's definitely more +EV
    • kymupa
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364

      I'd rather fold this hand preflop from this positon.

      On the flop, being three-way, I'd check.

      As played, just bet normal both turn and river.

      What hands are you going to expect villain to bluff with in this spot after having called two streets already?