[NL2-NL10] Paired board

    • Cooperman45
      Cooperman45
      Basic
      Joined: 14.12.2011 Posts: 62
      OnGame - $0.10 NL FAST (5 max) - Holdem - 5 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      valkyric (BTN): $9.34 (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 28)
      Mutantbuddy (SB): $17.11 (VPIP: 46.15, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 14)
      Cooperman451 (BB): $19.69
      megusta7 (UTG): $7.62 (VPIP: 37.50, PFR: 18.75, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 16)
      fish023 (CO): $22.27 (VPIP: 30.00, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 10)

      Mutantbuddy posts SB $0.05, Cooperman451 posts BB $0.10

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Cooperman451 has Q:spade: A:heart:

      fold, fold, valkyric calls $0.10, Mutantbuddy calls $0.05, Cooperman451 raises to $0.60, fold, Mutantbuddy calls $0.50

      Flop: ($1.30, 2 players) 3:club: 3:heart: 9:heart:
      Mutantbuddy bets $0.65, Cooperman451 calls $0.65

      Turn: ($2.60, 2 players) 3:diamond:
      Mutantbuddy bets $1.95, Cooperman451 calls $1.95

      River: ($6.50, 2 players) T:spade:
      Mutantbuddy bets $4.90, Cooperman451 calls $4.90

      raise fold flop?
  • 3 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi.

      I think calling is the best option. Raising doesn't achieve much - He never folds any pair here, and he may just fold weaker hands like KQ.

      Could you bluff catch 3 streets profitably? That depends on whether he's barreling flush draws and random overcards 3 streets. I'm not too sure, but given the runout it can't be too bad of a play, since Ace high is usually the best hand and you mostly lose to 9X but you beat all the other random broadways and worse AX hands which he could have, like A8 or KQ or QJ.

      Maybe you could fold the River though; he seems to be on the passive side.
    • Cooperman45
      Cooperman45
      Basic
      Joined: 14.12.2011 Posts: 62
      So better with more of a read, ? I agree looks way too passive to make this profotable. But do you like the call on the flop? Think the fact his betsizing goes up in value on turn and river could also be a tell that I'm no good on the end
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      I think the Flop is a must-call. The turn call is still fine to me, but river is tricky and I am inclined to think that it is more of a fold.