[NL2-NL10] NL5 FR AA - should I value bet the river?

    • Dawidas888
      Dawidas888
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Known Players:
      UTG3: $8.70 - 174 bb
      MP1: $1.98 - 40 bb
      MP2: $4.91 - 98 bb
      MP3: $5.00 - 100 bb
      CO: $5.00 - 100 bb
      BU: $12.86 - 257 bb
      SB: $2.08 - 42 bb
      BB: $5.00 - 100 bb

      0.02/0.05 No Limit Hold'em (8 Handed)
      Hand recorder for this hand: PokerStrategy.com SideKick 1.1.417.4

      Preflop: Hero is UTG3 with A:heart: , A:club:
      SB posts small blind ($0.02), BB posts big blind ($0.05), Hero raises for $0.20, 2 folds, MP3 calls, CO folds, BU calls, SB calls, BB folds

      Flop: ($0.85 - 17 bb) J:spade: , 8:spade: , 6:heart: (4 Players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.65, MP3 folds, BU calls, SB folds

      Turn: ($2.15 - 43 bb) 5:spade: (2 Players)
      Hero bets $1.50, BU calls

      River: ($5.15 - 103 bb) 3:diamond: (2 Players)
      Hero checks, BU checks

      -----

      BU was 70/12/6 over 50 - a fish. AF - 2; Bet vs missed cbet - 86. WTSD - 33; W$SD - 45.
      Check/raises 2 pair on the flop.

      Flop: value bet/folding.

      Turn: same.

      River: I am not sure how much more value can I get from a Jx/QQ+.
      However, given my read that villain is raising if he hits I should bet the river for value instead of trying to bluffcatch.
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