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[NL2-NL10] NL5 FR KJs tough river - bluffcatching

    • Dawidas888
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Known Players:
      UTG2: $5.10 - 102 bb
      UTG3: $17.23 - 345 bb
      MP1: $4.93 - 99 bb
      MP2: $5.09 - 102 bb
      MP3: $6.06 - 121 bb
      CO: $5.31 - 106 bb
      BU: $5.24 - 105 bb
      SB: $5.36 - 107 bb
      BB: $13.82 - 276 bb

      0.02/0.05 No Limit Hold'em (9 Handed)
      Hand recorder for this hand: SideKick 1.1.417.4

      Preflop: Hero is BU with K:spade: , J:spade:
      SB posts small blind ($0.02), BB posts big blind ($0.05), 6 folds, Hero raises for $0.13, SB folds, BB calls

      Flop: ($0.28 - 5.60 bb) Q:club: , J:heart: , 9:diamond: (2 Players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.20, BB calls

      Turn: ($0.68 - 13.60 bb) 7:diamond: (2 Players)
      BB checks, Hero checks

      River: ($0.68 - 13.60 bb) Q:spade: (2 Players)
      BB bets $0.35, Hero calls


      BB was 18/13/0 over 150 with AF of 1.

      Stealing. 2.5x is my standard open as I open any 2 from BU until someone gives me a reason not to.

      Value betting. BBs range includes many lower PPs, Qx as well as Jx.

      No more value left.

      Was considering whether to call or fold. Given his low AF I should have let it go.
      However, I don't think it's super -EV to call as he could sometimes be value betting JT/9T/TT or even an occasional bluff (though unlikely).
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Dawidas,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: I think that the turn can be a thin value bet even against this player.

      I really doubt a 5nl player valuebets second pair on that river. Even at the higher limits that would be a stretch so we should just fold.