[NL20-NL50] NL50 QJs FH vs. river overbet

    • AchillesBG
      Joined: 06.02.2011 Posts: 4,561
      Prima, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $50 (100 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $52.17 (104.3 bb)
      SB: $65.04 (130.1 bb)
      BB: $77.34 (154.7 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with J Q
      CO raises to $1.50, Hero calls $1.50, 2 folds

      Flop: ($3.75) 5 A Q (2 players)
      CO bets $2.50, Hero calls $2.50

      Turn: ($8.75) Q (2 players)
      CO bets $5.25, Hero calls $5.25

      River: ($19.25) J (2 players)
      CO bets $24, Hero calls $24

      $67.25 pot ($3 rake)
      Final Board: 5 A Q Q J
      CO showed 8 T and lost (-$33.25 net)
      Hero showed J Q and won $64.25 ($31 net)

      24/21 50% agg. freq. f/t/r 51/55/36 Cbet 79/79/50(6). WTSD 13

      I think just calling the turn is better? He is quite aggressive and he might bluff the turn often. I will probably get one more streets from Ax anyway.

      After he made that overbet on the river? Should i raise or just calling is better? I don`t think that he is overbetting Qx or KT, which leaves him with AA/AQ/55 and bluffs. He might not bet the turn with JJ and it`s 1 combo anyway.

      MP2 66.67% 66.67% 0.00% AA, 55, AQs, AQo
      MP3 33.33% 33.33% 0.00% QJs

      And what is you calling range on the river?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694

      Turn: No reason to raise, especially vs such an aggressive player

      River: Definitely calling instead of raising vs the overbet. What's my calling range there? Probably any QX. If you think he is quite wide here, then calling with AT/AJ may even be ok but you should probably fold weaker AX hands.