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# [NL2-NL10] NL2 K7 straight

• Bronze
Joined: 13.04.2008
Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

Play hand

\$0.01/\$0.02 No-Limit Hold'em (2 handed)

Known players:
SB:
\$2.37
BB (Hero):
\$2.70

Preflop: Hero is BB with K, 7.
SB calls \$0.01, Hero raises to \$0.08, SB calls \$0.06.

Flop: (\$0.16) 6, 3, 8 (2 players)
Hero bets \$0.10, SB calls \$0.10.

Turn: (\$0.36) 5 (2 players)
Hero bets \$0.20, SB calls \$0.20.

River: (\$0.76) 9 (2 players)
Hero bets \$0.50, SB raises to \$1.90, Hero raises to \$2.32, SB calls \$0.09.

Final Pot: \$5.07.

Villian is 40/15/1.2/6.9 (last 2 are af and 3b)

Can I fold here on the river? I need to win 31% vs his range, but i lose to 7T and all flushes, split with 7 straights. It's really tough since I don't think this is ever a bluff or weak hand.
• 1 reply
• Bronze
Joined: 17.01.2011
his range is 7x and flushes, so best case scenario is that you split.
why do you put the extra \$0.09 in a scenario where you split or are behind?

anyway, if best case scenario is a split, then how often do you need to split?
on to the maths...

p - probability of splitting
1-p - probability of losing
\$2.28 - what you get when you split, which is (\$0.76+\$1.90+\$1.90)/2
-\$1.40 - what you lose when you call and lose against better

p*2.28 - (1-p)*1.40 = 0 (breakeven point)
2.28p - 1.40 + 1.40p = 0
3.68p = 1.40
p = 0.38

so you need to be splitting at least 38% of the time, not considering rake.

i don't think that's happening, specially as he might not even raise a 7x some of the time because he'll be afraid of the nuts himself when you bet bigger on the river. so you can actually fold.