[NL2-NL10] NL10 SH speed: 88

    • acetbfish
      acetbfish
      Bronze
      Joined: 11.03.2011 Posts: 804
      I had the BTN marked green, which means that he has probably done something fishy in previous hands. No reads on the other villains.

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($26.28)
      BB ($3.85)
      UTG ($3.36)
      UTG+1 ($10.23)
      CO ($16.73)
      BTN ($11.31)

      Dealt to Hero 8:spade: 8:diamond:

      fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.20, fold, BTN calls $0.20, Hero calls $0.15, BB calls $0.10

      FLOP ($0.80) 4:heart: 6:diamond: 3:club:

      Hero checks, BB checks, UTG+1 bets $0.40, BTN calls $0.40, Hero calls $0.40, BB calls $0.40

      TURN ($2.40) 4:heart: 6:diamond: 3:club: 3:spade:

      Hero checks, BB checks, UTG+1 checks, BTN bets $1.68, Hero calls $1.68, BB folds, UTG+1 folds

      RIVER ($5.76) 4:heart: 6:diamond: 3:club: 3:spade: 3:heart:

      Hero bets $2
  • 1 reply
    • Tomaloc
      Tomaloc
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.01.2011 Posts: 6,860
      interesting river spot, i feel like it's more between a c/c and a c/f.

      i see you are doing a thin valuebet. okay, he seems fishy, but it might to be too thin if he's reasonable enough.
      it's tough to estimate fishy ranges, but imo his river calling range might be something like this and then you'd need him to be fishy enough to have enough offsuit 6x:

      Board: 6:diamond: 4:heart: 3:club:  3:spade:  3:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      BU     62.20%  60.98%   1.22% { JJ-66, 44, A6s, A3s, 65s, 54s }
      SB     37.80%  36.59%   1.22% { 8d8s }


      that said, when you check he most likely doesn't bet the weaker 6x.
      i think it's quite close, if you think he might spaz out with a random missed 5x hand often enough for some reason (like, he's scandinavian :P ) then i'd go for a c/c again.

      if he never bluffs you probably can c/f unless he bets like halfpot, in which case you might just about be able to make a crying call hoping to see 77, 6x 25% of the time...