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[NL2-NL10] NL5 FR AKs turn play - c/r too scary?

    • Dawidas888
      Dawidas888
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Known Players:
      UTG2: $7.67 - 153 bb
      UTG3: $6.47 - 129 bb
      MP1: $5.22 - 104 bb
      MP2: $5.00 - 100 bb
      MP3: $4.87 - 97 bb
      CO: $12.09 - 242 bb
      BU: $1.80 - 36 bb
      SB: $12.06 - 241 bb
      BB: $2.50 - 50 bb

      0.02/0.05 No Limit Hold'em (9 Handed)
      Hand recorder for this hand: PokerStrategy.com SideKick 1.1.417.4

      Preflop: Hero is UTG3 with A:spade: , K:spade:
      SB posts small blind ($0.02), BB posts big blind ($0.05), UTG2 folds, Hero raises for $0.20, 3 folds, CO calls, 3 folds

      Flop: ($0.47 - 9.40 bb) 9:spade: , 4:spade: , 3:club: (2 Players)
      Hero bets $0.30, CO raises for $1.05, Hero calls

      Turn: ($2.57 - 51.40 bb) 7:spade: (2 Players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $1.70, Hero raises for $5.22, CO folds, Hero gets uncalled back ($3.52)

      -----

      CO was 42/25/0 over 12.

      Flop: I get 2 : 1 pot odds and I need 4 : 1 purely for the FD. However, given that villain signals strength I think I have the odds to call.

      Turn: going for a check/raise. Don't want to see any more scary cards for the villain, e.g. another spade, overcards.
      If he has a set he is not folding anyways.

      Is my estimation of implied odds on the flop correct?
  • 1 reply
    • cutegoldfish
      cutegoldfish
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.11.2009 Posts: 4,335
      flop - yes you are right

      turn - I'm not sure if check/raise turn is too scary for him but it definitely looks scarier than a pot size donk. i prefer donking both turn and river for value since we will get it in anyway and we give him a chance to raise the turn again (as a bluff or for value with a worse hand)